Trader sentiment favors 28°C (30.5%) slightly over 27°C (27.5%) for Hong Kong's highest temperature on March 27, propelled by the Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast of 27-28°C under moderate easterly winds and partly cloudy skies, with peaks likely in the urban core due to the heat island effect. Differentiating factors include model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing a 1-2°C spread, where 28°C gains from potential afternoon insolation breaking through high clouds, while 27°C prevails if persistent sea fog or stratocumulus suppresses diurnal warming—common in spring transitions. Historical March 27 highs average 24°C, but recent El Niño residuals and low humidity tilt odds warmer, with 26°C (18.5%) viable on overcast scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on March 27?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 27?
26°C 31%
27°C 28%
28°C 25%
24°C 18%
19°C or below
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C
18%
25°C
14%
26°C
19%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C or higher
14%
26°C 31%
27°C 28%
28°C 25%
24°C 18%
19°C or below
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C
18%
25°C
14%
26°C
19%
27°C
28%
28°C
24%
29°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 28°C (30.5%) slightly over 27°C (27.5%) for Hong Kong's highest temperature on March 27, propelled by the Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast of 27-28°C under moderate easterly winds and partly cloudy skies, with peaks likely in the urban core due to the heat island effect. Differentiating factors include model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing a 1-2°C spread, where 28°C gains from potential afternoon insolation breaking through high clouds, while 27°C prevails if persistent sea fog or stratocumulus suppresses diurnal warming—common in spring transitions. Historical March 27 highs average 24°C, but recent El Niño residuals and low humidity tilt odds warmer, with 26°C (18.5%) viable on overcast scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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