Latest Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and global models like ECMWF indicate a high near 27°C on March 23, fueled by a ridge of high pressure bringing sunny skies and light winds, splitting trader odds evenly across 26°C (24%), 27°C (25.5%), and 28°C+ (25%). This warmth exceeds the March average of 23-24°C due to elevated sea surface temperatures in the South China Sea enhancing daytime heating, though urban heat island effects amplify peaks at stations like King's Park. Model ensembles show slight divergence—some cap at 26.5°C with afternoon sea breeze, others push 28°C under prolonged sunshine—while historical data notes March highs rarely exceed 28°C absent föhn winds. Uncertainty lingers on cloud timing ahead of a weak front.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on March 23?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 23?
27°C 29%
28°C or higher 25%
26°C 24%
25°C 19%
18°C or below
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
16%
25°C
19%
26°C
24%
27°C
29%
28°C or higher
25%
27°C 29%
28°C or higher 25%
26°C 24%
25°C 19%
18°C or below
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
16%
25°C
19%
26°C
24%
27°C
29%
28°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and global models like ECMWF indicate a high near 27°C on March 23, fueled by a ridge of high pressure bringing sunny skies and light winds, splitting trader odds evenly across 26°C (24%), 27°C (25.5%), and 28°C+ (25%). This warmth exceeds the March average of 23-24°C due to elevated sea surface temperatures in the South China Sea enhancing daytime heating, though urban heat island effects amplify peaks at stations like King's Park. Model ensembles show slight divergence—some cap at 26.5°C with afternoon sea breeze, others push 28°C under prolonged sunshine—while historical data notes March highs rarely exceed 28°C absent föhn winds. Uncertainty lingers on cloud timing ahead of a weak front.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы