Latest NOAA model ensembles and National Weather Service guidance pinpoint Atlanta's highest temperature on March 23 around 78-81°F, driving trader consensus toward those bins at over 47% combined implied probability, amid a strengthening ridge aloft fostering warm advection from the Gulf of Mexico. Differentiating factors include GFS projections peaking at 81°F versus ECMWF's slightly cooler 79°F bias, influenced by mid-level height anomalies and boundary layer mixing efficiency; recent runs show a 2-3°F upward trend from prior forecasts due to reduced cloud cover. Historical March 23 highs average 65°F but reach 80°F+ in 20% of ridge-dominated setups, with 1-2°F resolution uncertainty from station microclimate at Hartsfield-Jackson. Traders eye tomorrow's 12z updates for shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
80-81°F 27%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 17%
74-75°F 16%
65°F or below
3%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
5%
84°F or higher
12%
80-81°F 27%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 17%
74-75°F 16%
65°F or below
3%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
5%
84°F or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA model ensembles and National Weather Service guidance pinpoint Atlanta's highest temperature on March 23 around 78-81°F, driving trader consensus toward those bins at over 47% combined implied probability, amid a strengthening ridge aloft fostering warm advection from the Gulf of Mexico. Differentiating factors include GFS projections peaking at 81°F versus ECMWF's slightly cooler 79°F bias, influenced by mid-level height anomalies and boundary layer mixing efficiency; recent runs show a 2-3°F upward trend from prior forecasts due to reduced cloud cover. Historical March 23 highs average 65°F but reach 80°F+ in 20% of ridge-dominated setups, with 1-2°F resolution uncertainty from station microclimate at Hartsfield-Jackson. Traders eye tomorrow's 12z updates for shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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