Trader sentiment favors mid-80s highs for Atlanta on March 22, with 84-85°F leading at 29% implied probability, propelled by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means converging on 83-86°F amid a robust subtropical ridge fostering warm southerly advection and light winds aloft. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—82-83°F (23%) if low-level stratus persists from Gulf moisture, versus 86-87°F (18.5%) under clearer skies in drier GFS perturbations—against a backdrop of low soil moisture from recent deficits boosting near-surface heating. Historical March norms hover near 67°F, but persistent warmth and minimal cold air intrusions underpin the elevated odds, pending 12z model refresh.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 22?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 22?
84-85°F 29%
82-83°F 22%
86-87°F 18%
80-81°F 15%
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
5%
84-85°F 29%
82-83°F 22%
86-87°F 18%
80-81°F 15%
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors mid-80s highs for Atlanta on March 22, with 84-85°F leading at 29% implied probability, propelled by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means converging on 83-86°F amid a robust subtropical ridge fostering warm southerly advection and light winds aloft. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—82-83°F (23%) if low-level stratus persists from Gulf moisture, versus 86-87°F (18.5%) under clearer skies in drier GFS perturbations—against a backdrop of low soil moisture from recent deficits boosting near-surface heating. Historical March norms hover near 67°F, but persistent warmth and minimal cold air intrusions underpin the elevated odds, pending 12z model refresh.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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