Traders overwhelmingly favor a high temperature of 12°C or below in Toronto on March 22 (97.5% implied probability), anchored by Environment Canada's latest forecast predicting a daytime max near 9°C amid cloudy skies and possible flurries from persistent northerly flow. ECMWF and GFS ensembles reinforce this with mean highs of 7-10°C, reflecting a cool upper-air pattern channeling Arctic air southward, consistent with historical March 22 averages around 8°C at Pearson Airport. This positioning holds firm barring a rare jet stream kink ushering a warm front—evident in only 5% of analogous setups—or a model bust from underestimated boundary-layer mixing, though short-range confidence remains exceptionally high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on March 22?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 22?
12°C or below 97.6%
13°C 1.6%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$52,684 Объем
$52,684 Объем
12°C or below
98%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 97.6%
13°C 1.6%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$52,684 Объем
$52,684 Объем
12°C or below
98%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly favor a high temperature of 12°C or below in Toronto on March 22 (97.5% implied probability), anchored by Environment Canada's latest forecast predicting a daytime max near 9°C amid cloudy skies and possible flurries from persistent northerly flow. ECMWF and GFS ensembles reinforce this with mean highs of 7-10°C, reflecting a cool upper-air pattern channeling Arctic air southward, consistent with historical March 22 averages around 8°C at Pearson Airport. This positioning holds firm barring a rare jet stream kink ushering a warm front—evident in only 5% of analogous setups—or a model bust from underestimated boundary-layer mixing, though short-range confidence remains exceptionally high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы