Trader sentiment for Toronto's highest temperature on March 23 clusters tightly around 3-5°C outcomes, reflecting Environment Canada's latest forecast of a 4°C peak under variable cloudiness and light southerly winds, which aligns with the top market-implied odds. This balance stems from divergent global models: ECMWF ensembles favor warmer advection from building high pressure, implying 5°C+ potential, while GFS highlights risks of a late cold front dipping to 2°C or below via lingering Arctic air masses. Historical late-March highs average 6°C at Pearson Airport, but recent jet stream waviness introduces uncertainty; traders eye afternoon model updates for shifts, with resolution tied to official hourly observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on March 23?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 23?
3°C 24%
5°C or higher 23%
2°C 22%
1°C 19%
-5°C or below
2%
-4°C
8%
-3°C
11%
-2°C
12%
-1°C
12%
0°C
15%
1°C
19%
2°C
22%
3°C
24%
4°C
23%
5°C or higher
23%
3°C 24%
5°C or higher 23%
2°C 22%
1°C 19%
-5°C or below
2%
-4°C
8%
-3°C
11%
-2°C
12%
-1°C
12%
0°C
15%
1°C
19%
2°C
22%
3°C
24%
4°C
23%
5°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Toronto's highest temperature on March 23 clusters tightly around 3-5°C outcomes, reflecting Environment Canada's latest forecast of a 4°C peak under variable cloudiness and light southerly winds, which aligns with the top market-implied odds. This balance stems from divergent global models: ECMWF ensembles favor warmer advection from building high pressure, implying 5°C+ potential, while GFS highlights risks of a late cold front dipping to 2°C or below via lingering Arctic air masses. Historical late-March highs average 6°C at Pearson Airport, but recent jet stream waviness introduces uncertainty; traders eye afternoon model updates for shifts, with resolution tied to official hourly observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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