Trader sentiment on Lucknow's highest temperature March 28 clusters tightly around 33–36°C, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) ensemble forecasts projecting a daytime peak of 34–35°C amid clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds limiting humidity. Recent developments, including a 2–3°C above-normal trend from lingering winter warmth and minimal cloud interference, favor these outcomes over cooler 32°C or below (14.5% odds), while heatwave risks remain low absent stronger solar insolation. Differentiating factors include afternoon boundary layer heating—potentially pushing to 36°C if winds slacken—and historical March maxima averaging 34.2°C at Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport, underscoring model divergence on peak-hour convection. Upcoming hourly updates from IMD could shift implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
35°C 20%
32°C or below 13%
32°C or below
13%
33°C
29%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
13%
37°C
7%
38°C
7%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
35°C 20%
32°C or below 13%
32°C or below
13%
33°C
29%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
13%
37°C
7%
38°C
7%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Lucknow's highest temperature March 28 clusters tightly around 33–36°C, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) ensemble forecasts projecting a daytime peak of 34–35°C amid clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds limiting humidity. Recent developments, including a 2–3°C above-normal trend from lingering winter warmth and minimal cloud interference, favor these outcomes over cooler 32°C or below (14.5% odds), while heatwave risks remain low absent stronger solar insolation. Differentiating factors include afternoon boundary layer heating—potentially pushing to 36°C if winds slacken—and historical March maxima averaging 34.2°C at Chaudhary Charan Singh Airport, underscoring model divergence on peak-hour convection. Upcoming hourly updates from IMD could shift implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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