Tight clustering of probabilities around 33–35°C in the Lucknow March 27 high-temperature market reflects the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast of a daytime maximum near 34°C under clear skies and low humidity, fostering efficient solar heating after recent western disturbances cleared out. Seasonal norms for late March in Uttar Pradesh show averages of 32–35°C, but dry soil moisture and light winds amplify peak temperatures by reducing evaporative cooling, per IMD observational data. Trader sentiment differentiates outcomes via model divergences—ECMWF leaning cooler at 33°C with slight cloud hints, GFS warmer toward 35°C—while historical precedents favor 34°C on similar anticyclonic days; upcoming hourly updates could tip the balance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 27 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Лакхнау 27 марта?
33°C 29%
34°C 27%
35°C 21%
36°C 13%
32°C или ниже
9%
33°C
29%
34°C
27%
35°C
21%
36°C
13%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C или выше
<1%
33°C 29%
34°C 27%
35°C 21%
36°C 13%
32°C или ниже
9%
33°C
29%
34°C
27%
35°C
21%
36°C
13%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight clustering of probabilities around 33–35°C in the Lucknow March 27 high-temperature market reflects the India Meteorological Department's latest forecast of a daytime maximum near 34°C under clear skies and low humidity, fostering efficient solar heating after recent western disturbances cleared out. Seasonal norms for late March in Uttar Pradesh show averages of 32–35°C, but dry soil moisture and light winds amplify peak temperatures by reducing evaporative cooling, per IMD observational data. Trader sentiment differentiates outcomes via model divergences—ECMWF leaning cooler at 33°C with slight cloud hints, GFS warmer toward 35°C—while historical precedents favor 34°C on similar anticyclonic days; upcoming hourly updates could tip the balance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы