Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 35°C (39.5%) and 36°C (32.5%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting a daytime maximum of 35-37°C amid dry northwesterly winds and hazy skies reducing cloud cover. These closely matched odds reflect model ensemble agreement from GFS and ECMWF runs, which show peak insolation pushing temperatures into the mid-30s, above the March historical average of 33°C but shy of heatwave thresholds. Lower odds for 34°C or below (21.5%) stem from persistent warming trends and minimal convective activity, while extremes above 37°C remain improbable absent adiabatic compression from stronger winds; watch IMD's evening update for resolution-defining tweaks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
35°C 39%
36°C 32%
34°C or below 22%
37°C 4.4%
$60,851 Объем
$60,851 Объем
34°C or below
22%
35°C
39%
36°C
32%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
35°C 39%
36°C 32%
34°C or below 22%
37°C 4.4%
$60,851 Объем
$60,851 Объем
34°C or below
22%
35°C
39%
36°C
32%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 35°C (39.5%) and 36°C (32.5%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting a daytime maximum of 35-37°C amid dry northwesterly winds and hazy skies reducing cloud cover. These closely matched odds reflect model ensemble agreement from GFS and ECMWF runs, which show peak insolation pushing temperatures into the mid-30s, above the March historical average of 33°C but shy of heatwave thresholds. Lower odds for 34°C or below (21.5%) stem from persistent warming trends and minimal convective activity, while extremes above 37°C remain improbable absent adiabatic compression from stronger winds; watch IMD's evening update for resolution-defining tweaks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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