Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 25 tilts toward milder outcomes, with 33°C or below at 26.5% edging out 34–36°C bins (16.5–17%), driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts pegging the daytime peak at 33–35°C amid lingering northerly winds from a recent western disturbance. This system introduced cloud cover and cooler air masses, suppressing heat after early March warmth, while elevated soil moisture from prior rains curbs diurnal temperature swings. Historical March averages hover near 32°C, but Lucknow's urban heat island could nudge readings up; ECMWF and GFS model ensembles cluster tightly around 34°C, with uncertainty in boundary layer mixing differentiating sub-34°C from higher probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 25 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Лакхнау 25 марта?
33°C или ниже 50%
34°C 18%
35°C 18%
36°C 17%
33°C или ниже
29%
34°C
18%
35°C
18%
36°C
17%
37°C
17%
38°C
17%
39°C
16%
40°C
14%
41°C
13%
42°C
12%
43°C или выше
2%
33°C или ниже 50%
34°C 18%
35°C 18%
36°C 17%
33°C или ниже
29%
34°C
18%
35°C
18%
36°C
17%
37°C
17%
38°C
17%
39°C
16%
40°C
14%
41°C
13%
42°C
12%
43°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 25 tilts toward milder outcomes, with 33°C or below at 26.5% edging out 34–36°C bins (16.5–17%), driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts pegging the daytime peak at 33–35°C amid lingering northerly winds from a recent western disturbance. This system introduced cloud cover and cooler air masses, suppressing heat after early March warmth, while elevated soil moisture from prior rains curbs diurnal temperature swings. Historical March averages hover near 32°C, but Lucknow's urban heat island could nudge readings up; ECMWF and GFS model ensembles cluster tightly around 34°C, with uncertainty in boundary layer mixing differentiating sub-34°C from higher probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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