Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 32°C (31%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 24, narrowly ahead of 31°C or below (26.5%) and 33°C (24.5%), reflecting IMD forecasts projecting a daytime maximum of 31-33°C amid mostly clear skies and rising seasonal heat. Recent observations show temperatures climbing from 28-30°C in prior days, fueled by low humidity (around 40%) and strong solar insolation that promotes efficient ground heating, while minimal western disturbances reduce cloud cover risks. Ensemble models diverge slightly due to potential late-afternoon haze or isolated thunderstorms, which could cap peaks at 31°C or push to 33°C; historical March 24 averages 31.8°C, with upper outliers tied to heat low development over northern India. Upcoming hourly updates from IMD will likely sharpen these odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 24 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Лакхнау 24 марта?
31°C или ниже 35%
32°C 31%
33°C 25%
34°C 19%
31°C или ниже
27%
32°C
31%
33°C
25%
34°C
19%
35°C
18%
36°C
10%
37°C
17%
38°C
13%
39°C
12%
40°C
8%
41°C или выше
12%
31°C или ниже 35%
32°C 31%
33°C 25%
34°C 19%
31°C или ниже
27%
32°C
31%
33°C
25%
34°C
19%
35°C
18%
36°C
10%
37°C
17%
38°C
13%
39°C
12%
40°C
8%
41°C или выше
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 32°C (31%) as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 24, narrowly ahead of 31°C or below (26.5%) and 33°C (24.5%), reflecting IMD forecasts projecting a daytime maximum of 31-33°C amid mostly clear skies and rising seasonal heat. Recent observations show temperatures climbing from 28-30°C in prior days, fueled by low humidity (around 40%) and strong solar insolation that promotes efficient ground heating, while minimal western disturbances reduce cloud cover risks. Ensemble models diverge slightly due to potential late-afternoon haze or isolated thunderstorms, which could cap peaks at 31°C or push to 33°C; historical March 24 averages 31.8°C, with upper outliers tied to heat low development over northern India. Upcoming hourly updates from IMD will likely sharpen these odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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