Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Italy's Aeronautica Militare, show maximum temperatures in Milan clustering between 16–20°C for April 13, fueling the tight race among 15°C (27.5%), 17°C or higher (26.5%), and 16°C (25%) outcomes as traders weigh subtle differences in implied probabilities. This positioning stems from a recent warming trend under a high-pressure ridge following cooler early-April highs of 12–14°C, with southerly flows enhancing daytime heating amid partial cloudiness. Key differentiators include model spread on low-level cloud cover and wind speeds, which could cap peaks at 15–16°C or allow urban heat to push toward 17°C+; climatological mid-April highs average 17–18°C at Milano Linate Airport. New 12Z model runs and afternoon observations today may sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 13?
15°C 27%
17°C or higher 27%
16°C 25%
14°C 21%
$11,785 Объем
$11,785 Объем
13 апр. 2026 г.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
21%
15°C
27%
16°C
25%
17°C or higher
27%
15°C 27%
17°C or higher 27%
16°C 25%
14°C 21%
$11,785 Объем
$11,785 Объем
13 апр. 2026 г.
7°C or below
$1,075 Объем
<1%
8°C
$1,056 Объем
<1%
9°C
$915 Объем
<1%
10°C
$1,495 Объем
1%
11°C
$928 Объем
<1%
12°C
$651 Объем
1%
13°C
$1,483 Объем
3%
14°C
$915 Объем
21%
15°C
$595 Объем
27%
16°C
$789 Объем
25%
17°C or higher
$1,883 Объем
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Italy's Aeronautica Militare, show maximum temperatures in Milan clustering between 16–20°C for April 13, fueling the tight race among 15°C (27.5%), 17°C or higher (26.5%), and 16°C (25%) outcomes as traders weigh subtle differences in implied probabilities. This positioning stems from a recent warming trend under a high-pressure ridge following cooler early-April highs of 12–14°C, with southerly flows enhancing daytime heating amid partial cloudiness. Key differentiators include model spread on low-level cloud cover and wind speeds, which could cap peaks at 15–16°C or allow urban heat to push toward 17°C+; climatological mid-April highs average 17–18°C at Milano Linate Airport. New 12Z model runs and afternoon observations today may sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Объем
$11,785Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Italy's Aeronautica Militare, show maximum temperatures in Milan clustering between 16–20°C for April 13, fueling the tight race among 15°C (27.5%), 17°C or higher (26.5%), and 16°C (25%) outcomes as traders weigh subtle differences in implied probabilities. This positioning stems from a recent warming trend under a high-pressure ridge following cooler early-April highs of 12–14°C, with southerly flows enhancing daytime heating amid partial cloudiness. Key differentiators include model spread on low-level cloud cover and wind speeds, which could cap peaks at 15–16°C or allow urban heat to push toward 17°C+; climatological mid-April highs average 17–18°C at Milano Linate Airport. New 12Z model runs and afternoon observations today may sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$11,785Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Italy's Aeronautica Militare, show maximum temperatures in Milan clustering between 16–20°C for April 13, fueling the tight race among 15°C (27.5%), 17°C or higher (26.5%), and 16°C (25%) outcomes as traders weigh subtle differences in implied probabilities. This positioning stems from a recent warming trend under a high-pressure ridge following cooler early-April highs of 12–14°C, with southerly flows enhancing daytime heating amid partial cloudiness. Key differentiators include model spread on low-level cloud cover and wind speeds, which could cap peaks at 15–16°C or allow urban heat to push toward 17°C+; climatological mid-April highs average 17–18°C at Milano Linate Airport. New 12Z model runs and afternoon observations today may sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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