Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 84-85°F (34.5% implied probability) and 86-87°F (32.5%) for New York City's highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts pinpointing a high near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds. This positioning stems from the latest model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which show a persistent upper-level ridge advecting warm air from the south following a frosty weekend advisory on April 12; current observations at Central Park already exceed 80°F midday. Differentiating factors include minor variations in boundary layer mixing and potential thin high clouds capping peak heating, with urban heat island effects possibly pushing toward the upper end. Updated hourly guidance from the NWS this afternoon could refine the outlook before resolution at midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on April 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 15?
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 32%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 11%
$79,128 Объем
$79,128 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 32%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 11%
$79,128 Объем
$79,128 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
79°F or below
$14,319 Объем
1%
80-81°F
$9,916 Объем
3%
82-83°F
$6,716 Объем
11%
84-85°F
$5,298 Объем
32%
86-87°F
$5,415 Объем
37%
88-89°F
$8,503 Объем
16%
90-91°F
$6,962 Объем
7%
92-93°F
$4,463 Объем
2%
94-95°F
$2,853 Объем
<1%
96-97°F
$4,757 Объем
<1%
98°F or higher
$9,962 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 84-85°F (34.5% implied probability) and 86-87°F (32.5%) for New York City's highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts pinpointing a high near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds. This positioning stems from the latest model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which show a persistent upper-level ridge advecting warm air from the south following a frosty weekend advisory on April 12; current observations at Central Park already exceed 80°F midday. Differentiating factors include minor variations in boundary layer mixing and potential thin high clouds capping peak heating, with urban heat island effects possibly pushing toward the upper end. Updated hourly guidance from the NWS this afternoon could refine the outlook before resolution at midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$79,128Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 84-85°F (34.5% implied probability) and 86-87°F (32.5%) for New York City's highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts pinpointing a high near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds. This positioning stems from the latest model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which show a persistent upper-level ridge advecting warm air from the south following a frosty weekend advisory on April 12; current observations at Central Park already exceed 80°F midday. Differentiating factors include minor variations in boundary layer mixing and potential thin high clouds capping peak heating, with urban heat island effects possibly pushing toward the upper end. Updated hourly guidance from the NWS this afternoon could refine the outlook before resolution at midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$79,128Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 84-85°F (34.5% implied probability) and 86-87°F (32.5%) for New York City's highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts pinpointing a high near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds. This positioning stems from the latest model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which show a persistent upper-level ridge advecting warm air from the south following a frosty weekend advisory on April 12; current observations at Central Park already exceed 80°F midday. Differentiating factors include minor variations in boundary layer mixing and potential thin high clouds capping peak heating, with urban heat island effects possibly pushing toward the upper end. Updated hourly guidance from the NWS this afternoon could refine the outlook before resolution at midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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