Oklahoma's strongly Republican political environment underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate election. The Class II seat opened after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 upon Senate confirmation as secretary of homeland security, prompting Governor Kevin Stitt to appoint Alan Armstrong as interim senator; Armstrong is ineligible to seek a full term. Republican primary voters on June 16 are expected to nominate a candidate from a field including Kevin Hern, who holds double-digit leads in recent polls. Forecasters rate the general election solid or safe Republican, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Republican nominee would enter the November 3 contest with structural advantages in voter registration, fundraising, and historical turnout patterns, though an unexpected primary outcome or late-cycle development could introduce modest uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Оклахомы
Победитель выборов в Сенат Оклахомы
$14,591 Объем
$14,591 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
92%
Демократ
7%
$14,591 Объем
$14,591 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$8,923 Объем
92%
Демократ
$5,669 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's strongly Republican political environment underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate election. The Class II seat opened after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 upon Senate confirmation as secretary of homeland security, prompting Governor Kevin Stitt to appoint Alan Armstrong as interim senator; Armstrong is ineligible to seek a full term. Republican primary voters on June 16 are expected to nominate a candidate from a field including Kevin Hern, who holds double-digit leads in recent polls. Forecasters rate the general election solid or safe Republican, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Republican nominee would enter the November 3 contest with structural advantages in voter registration, fundraising, and historical turnout patterns, though an unexpected primary outcome or late-cycle development could introduce modest uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Объем
$14,591Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's strongly Republican political environment underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate election. The Class II seat opened after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 upon Senate confirmation as secretary of homeland security, prompting Governor Kevin Stitt to appoint Alan Armstrong as interim senator; Armstrong is ineligible to seek a full term. Republican primary voters on June 16 are expected to nominate a candidate from a field including Kevin Hern, who holds double-digit leads in recent polls. Forecasters rate the general election solid or safe Republican, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Republican nominee would enter the November 3 contest with structural advantages in voter registration, fundraising, and historical turnout patterns, though an unexpected primary outcome or late-cycle development could introduce modest uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$14,591Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's strongly Republican political environment underpins trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate election. The Class II seat opened after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 upon Senate confirmation as secretary of homeland security, prompting Governor Kevin Stitt to appoint Alan Armstrong as interim senator; Armstrong is ineligible to seek a full term. Republican primary voters on June 16 are expected to nominate a candidate from a field including Kevin Hern, who holds double-digit leads in recent polls. Forecasters rate the general election solid or safe Republican, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure. A Republican nominee would enter the November 3 contest with structural advantages in voter registration, fundraising, and historical turnout patterns, though an unexpected primary outcome or late-cycle development could introduce modest uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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