Kevin Hern's commanding position in the Oklahoma Senate race stems from the state's entrenched Republican advantage, where the party has dominated federal contests for decades, amplified by his June primary victory with nearly 70 percent of the vote following President Trump's endorsement. As the sitting U.S. representative for the Tulsa area, Hern benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising, and alignment with the state's conservative electorate ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat N’Kiyla Thomas, a nurse who won her August runoff, faces significant structural barriers including limited resources and the absence of competitive polling trends favoring her side. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as scandals or major national shifts could theoretically alter the trajectory in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Оклахомы
Победитель выборов в Сенат Оклахомы
$21,253 Объем
$21,253 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Кевин Херн (Р)
96%
Н'Кайла «Жасмин» Томас (Д)
4%
$21,253 Объем
$21,253 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Кевин Херн (Р)
$14,672 Объем
96%
Н'Кайла «Жасмин» Томас (Д)
$6,582 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kevin Hern's commanding position in the Oklahoma Senate race stems from the state's entrenched Republican advantage, where the party has dominated federal contests for decades, amplified by his June primary victory with nearly 70 percent of the vote following President Trump's endorsement. As the sitting U.S. representative for the Tulsa area, Hern benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising, and alignment with the state's conservative electorate ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat N’Kiyla Thomas, a nurse who won her August runoff, faces significant structural barriers including limited resources and the absence of competitive polling trends favoring her side. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as scandals or major national shifts could theoretically alter the trajectory in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Объем
$21,253Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kevin Hern's commanding position in the Oklahoma Senate race stems from the state's entrenched Republican advantage, where the party has dominated federal contests for decades, amplified by his June primary victory with nearly 70 percent of the vote following President Trump's endorsement. As the sitting U.S. representative for the Tulsa area, Hern benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising, and alignment with the state's conservative electorate ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat N’Kiyla Thomas, a nurse who won her August runoff, faces significant structural barriers including limited resources and the absence of competitive polling trends favoring her side. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as scandals or major national shifts could theoretically alter the trajectory in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$21,253Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Kevin Hern's commanding position in the Oklahoma Senate race stems from the state's entrenched Republican advantage, where the party has dominated federal contests for decades, amplified by his June primary victory with nearly 70 percent of the vote following President Trump's endorsement. As the sitting U.S. representative for the Tulsa area, Hern benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising, and alignment with the state's conservative electorate ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat N’Kiyla Thomas, a nurse who won her August runoff, faces significant structural barriers including limited resources and the absence of competitive polling trends favoring her side. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as scandals or major national shifts could theoretically alter the trajectory in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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