Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett's unopposed primary victory and the district's consistent Republican performance underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 93.5%. TN-02's voting patterns, reflected in prior cycles where the seat delivered margins exceeding 30 points, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Republican, limit Democratic prospects even with Michaela Barnett as the general-election nominee. Recent August primaries produced no significant shifts or surprises. A national Democratic wave, major incumbent scandal, or health event could narrow the gap, yet historical base rates and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited pathways for an upset before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей TN-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей TN-02
$29,043 Объем
$29,043 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
6%
$29,043 Объем
$29,043 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$19,335 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$9,708 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett's unopposed primary victory and the district's consistent Republican performance underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 93.5%. TN-02's voting patterns, reflected in prior cycles where the seat delivered margins exceeding 30 points, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Republican, limit Democratic prospects even with Michaela Barnett as the general-election nominee. Recent August primaries produced no significant shifts or surprises. A national Democratic wave, major incumbent scandal, or health event could narrow the gap, yet historical base rates and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited pathways for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$29,043Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett's unopposed primary victory and the district's consistent Republican performance underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 93.5%. TN-02's voting patterns, reflected in prior cycles where the seat delivered margins exceeding 30 points, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Republican, limit Democratic prospects even with Michaela Barnett as the general-election nominee. Recent August primaries produced no significant shifts or surprises. A national Democratic wave, major incumbent scandal, or health event could narrow the gap, yet historical base rates and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited pathways for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$29,043Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett's unopposed primary victory and the district's consistent Republican performance underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 93.5%. TN-02's voting patterns, reflected in prior cycles where the seat delivered margins exceeding 30 points, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Solid or Safe Republican, limit Democratic prospects even with Michaela Barnett as the general-election nominee. Recent August primaries produced no significant shifts or surprises. A national Democratic wave, major incumbent scandal, or health event could narrow the gap, yet historical base rates and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited pathways for an upset before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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