PAGASA forecasts and model consensus point to daytime highs of 29–31°C for Manila on August 8 amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered showers and cloud cover limiting solar heating and keeping peaks near the 29°C mark that traders currently favor at 47% implied probability. Persistent habagat moisture and any interaction with nearby low-pressure systems or tropical cyclones enhance rainfall chances, which historically cap maximum temperatures below seasonal averages of 30–31°C while the urban heat island effect provides a modest upward nudge. Recent observations from Science Garden show daily maxima around 27–29°C, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 28–30°C band that accounts for over 95% of market-implied odds, with only limited scope for 31°C or higher under clearer breaks in the cloud deck.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 8?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 8?
29°C 47%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 8, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
22%
29°C
47%
30°C
26%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 8, 2026
24°C or below
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$26 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$37 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$116 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$15 ปริมาณ
22%
29°C
$90 ปริมาณ
47%
30°C
$204 ปริมาณ
26%
31°C
$14 ปริมาณ
7%
32°C
$23 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C or higher
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts and model consensus point to daytime highs of 29–31°C for Manila on August 8 amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered showers and cloud cover limiting solar heating and keeping peaks near the 29°C mark that traders currently favor at 47% implied probability. Persistent habagat moisture and any interaction with nearby low-pressure systems or tropical cyclones enhance rainfall chances, which historically cap maximum temperatures below seasonal averages of 30–31°C while the urban heat island effect provides a modest upward nudge. Recent observations from Science Garden show daily maxima around 27–29°C, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 28–30°C band that accounts for over 95% of market-implied odds, with only limited scope for 31°C or higher under clearer breaks in the cloud deck.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$620วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts and model consensus point to daytime highs of 29–31°C for Manila on August 8 amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered showers and cloud cover limiting solar heating and keeping peaks near the 29°C mark that traders currently favor at 47% implied probability. Persistent habagat moisture and any interaction with nearby low-pressure systems or tropical cyclones enhance rainfall chances, which historically cap maximum temperatures below seasonal averages of 30–31°C while the urban heat island effect provides a modest upward nudge. Recent observations from Science Garden show daily maxima around 27–29°C, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 28–30°C band that accounts for over 95% of market-implied odds, with only limited scope for 31°C or higher under clearer breaks in the cloud deck.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$620วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts and model consensus point to daytime highs of 29–31°C for Manila on August 8 amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered showers and cloud cover limiting solar heating and keeping peaks near the 29°C mark that traders currently favor at 47% implied probability. Persistent habagat moisture and any interaction with nearby low-pressure systems or tropical cyclones enhance rainfall chances, which historically cap maximum temperatures below seasonal averages of 30–31°C while the urban heat island effect provides a modest upward nudge. Recent observations from Science Garden show daily maxima around 27–29°C, reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 28–30°C band that accounts for over 95% of market-implied odds, with only limited scope for 31°C or higher under clearer breaks in the cloud deck.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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