Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements at King's Park—the authoritative reference station for daily minimum air temperatures—recorded 22°C as the lowest reading on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome amid real-money positioning. Evening observations showed temperatures cooling to 22°C under partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, aligning with typical May diurnal cycles where minima average 23–24°C but can dip lower during radiative cooling nights. Climatological data supports this as plausible for early May, with no significant cold air advection. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event, limited to rare station data audits revealing overlooked lower readings from automated weather stations, though resolution criteria prioritize King's Park verified data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$32,085 ปริมาณ
$32,085 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$32,085 ปริมาณ
$32,085 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
15°C or below
$490 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$1,546 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$1,374 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$1,425 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,352 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$3,210 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$2,371 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$4,070 ปริมาณ
Yes
23°C
$5,830 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$3,123 ปริมาณ
No
25°C or higher
$5,294 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements at King's Park—the authoritative reference station for daily minimum air temperatures—recorded 22°C as the lowest reading on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome amid real-money positioning. Evening observations showed temperatures cooling to 22°C under partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, aligning with typical May diurnal cycles where minima average 23–24°C but can dip lower during radiative cooling nights. Climatological data supports this as plausible for early May, with no significant cold air advection. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event, limited to rare station data audits revealing overlooked lower readings from automated weather stations, though resolution criteria prioritize King's Park verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,085วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements at King's Park—the authoritative reference station for daily minimum air temperatures—recorded 22°C as the lowest reading on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome amid real-money positioning. Evening observations showed temperatures cooling to 22°C under partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, aligning with typical May diurnal cycles where minima average 23–24°C but can dip lower during radiative cooling nights. Climatological data supports this as plausible for early May, with no significant cold air advection. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event, limited to rare station data audits revealing overlooked lower readings from automated weather stations, though resolution criteria prioritize King's Park verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,085วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements at King's Park—the authoritative reference station for daily minimum air temperatures—recorded 22°C as the lowest reading on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome amid real-money positioning. Evening observations showed temperatures cooling to 22°C under partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, aligning with typical May diurnal cycles where minima average 23–24°C but can dip lower during radiative cooling nights. Climatological data supports this as plausible for early May, with no significant cold air advection. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event, limited to rare station data audits revealing overlooked lower readings from automated weather stations, though resolution criteria prioritize King's Park verified data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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