Current forecast models, including outputs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensembles, point to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 21 near 8–11°C under partly cloudy skies and northwesterly flow advecting cooler air masses. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 7°C or below (47.5%) and 9°C (30.0%) as leading outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on potential radiative cooling overnight amid lower dew points around 5–7°C. Recent model runs show slight downward revisions from earlier warmer guidance, consistent with historical September variability where lows can dip below the 9.4°C climatological average. Key resolution factors include official station readings at the Munich site, with final updates expected from monitoring agencies in the next 48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Munich on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 21?
7°C or below 94%
8°C 38%
9°C 30%
10°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
7°C or below
94%
8°C
38%
9°C
30%
10°C
19%
11°C
11%
12°C
7%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
7°C or below 94%
8°C 38%
9°C 30%
10°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
7°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
94%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including outputs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensembles, point to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 21 near 8–11°C under partly cloudy skies and northwesterly flow advecting cooler air masses. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 7°C or below (47.5%) and 9°C (30.0%) as leading outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on potential radiative cooling overnight amid lower dew points around 5–7°C. Recent model runs show slight downward revisions from earlier warmer guidance, consistent with historical September variability where lows can dip below the 9.4°C climatological average. Key resolution factors include official station readings at the Munich site, with final updates expected from monitoring agencies in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including outputs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensembles, point to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 21 near 8–11°C under partly cloudy skies and northwesterly flow advecting cooler air masses. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 7°C or below (47.5%) and 9°C (30.0%) as leading outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on potential radiative cooling overnight amid lower dew points around 5–7°C. Recent model runs show slight downward revisions from earlier warmer guidance, consistent with historical September variability where lows can dip below the 9.4°C climatological average. Key resolution factors include official station readings at the Munich site, with final updates expected from monitoring agencies in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including outputs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensembles, point to a minimum temperature in Munich on September 21 near 8–11°C under partly cloudy skies and northwesterly flow advecting cooler air masses. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 7°C or below (47.5%) and 9°C (30.0%) as leading outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on potential radiative cooling overnight amid lower dew points around 5–7°C. Recent model runs show slight downward revisions from earlier warmer guidance, consistent with historical September variability where lows can dip below the 9.4°C climatological average. Key resolution factors include official station readings at the Munich site, with final updates expected from monitoring agencies in the next 48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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