Recent northerly and northwesterly flows over New Zealand have maintained mild conditions in Wellington, with official guidance pointing to a daily minimum near 11–12°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and gusty winds. These winds can moderate overnight cooling by advecting warmer maritime air, while any shift to a southerly component or passage of a weak front could drop temperatures several degrees. Historical late-winter variability around the seasonal average low of roughly 8–9°C, combined with short-term model spread on exact wind timing and cloud cover, supports the market’s near-even pricing between sub-9°C and 18°C+ extremes versus the narrower central outcomes. Updated MetService and international model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the implied distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
8°C or below 69%
18°C or higher 53%
10°C 49%
14°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
69%
9°C
26%
10°C
49%
11°C
30%
12°C
31%
13°C
25%
14°C
49%
15°C
8%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
53%
8°C or below 69%
18°C or higher 53%
10°C 49%
14°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
69%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
18°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly and northwesterly flows over New Zealand have maintained mild conditions in Wellington, with official guidance pointing to a daily minimum near 11–12°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and gusty winds. These winds can moderate overnight cooling by advecting warmer maritime air, while any shift to a southerly component or passage of a weak front could drop temperatures several degrees. Historical late-winter variability around the seasonal average low of roughly 8–9°C, combined with short-term model spread on exact wind timing and cloud cover, supports the market’s near-even pricing between sub-9°C and 18°C+ extremes versus the narrower central outcomes. Updated MetService and international model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the implied distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly and northwesterly flows over New Zealand have maintained mild conditions in Wellington, with official guidance pointing to a daily minimum near 11–12°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and gusty winds. These winds can moderate overnight cooling by advecting warmer maritime air, while any shift to a southerly component or passage of a weak front could drop temperatures several degrees. Historical late-winter variability around the seasonal average low of roughly 8–9°C, combined with short-term model spread on exact wind timing and cloud cover, supports the market’s near-even pricing between sub-9°C and 18°C+ extremes versus the narrower central outcomes. Updated MetService and international model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the implied distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly and northwesterly flows over New Zealand have maintained mild conditions in Wellington, with official guidance pointing to a daily minimum near 11–12°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and gusty winds. These winds can moderate overnight cooling by advecting warmer maritime air, while any shift to a southerly component or passage of a weak front could drop temperatures several degrees. Historical late-winter variability around the seasonal average low of roughly 8–9°C, combined with short-term model spread on exact wind timing and cloud cover, supports the market’s near-even pricing between sub-9°C and 18°C+ extremes versus the narrower central outcomes. Updated MetService and international model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the implied distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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