Incumbent Democratic Governor Dan McKee trails challenger Helena Foulkes by double digits in recent Democratic primary polls—such as UNH's February survey showing Foulkes at 34% to McKee's 18%—amid low approval ratings linked to infrastructure woes like the Washington Bridge collapse, yet traders price a Democratic general election win at 94¢ due to Rhode Island's entrenched partisan lean and no Republican governor since 2003. Forecasters rate the race safe Democratic, with a fragmented GOP primary field including Aaron Guckian, Elaine Pelino, and Robert Raimondo, plus independent Ken Block's April 2 announcement failing to shift dynamics. Challenges would need a GOP primary upset, Democratic nominee scandal, or national Republican wave before the September 8 primaries and November 3 ballot.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$46,420 ปริมาณ
$46,420 ปริมาณ

Democrat
94%

Republican
5%
$46,420 ปริมาณ
$46,420 ปริมาณ

Democrat
94%

Republican
5%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Dan McKee trails challenger Helena Foulkes by double digits in recent Democratic primary polls—such as UNH's February survey showing Foulkes at 34% to McKee's 18%—amid low approval ratings linked to infrastructure woes like the Washington Bridge collapse, yet traders price a Democratic general election win at 94¢ due to Rhode Island's entrenched partisan lean and no Republican governor since 2003. Forecasters rate the race safe Democratic, with a fragmented GOP primary field including Aaron Guckian, Elaine Pelino, and Robert Raimondo, plus independent Ken Block's April 2 announcement failing to shift dynamics. Challenges would need a GOP primary upset, Democratic nominee scandal, or national Republican wave before the September 8 primaries and November 3 ballot.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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