Polymarket traders price a 96.9% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24 meeting, reflecting sustained disinflation after March 2026 CPI slowed to 5.86% year-over-year—below prior peaks—and household inflation expectations eased to 12.9%. This follows the central bank's March 20 cut of 50 basis points to 15.00%, signaling an ongoing easing cycle amid balanced risks, with Governor Nabiullina declaring an end to five years of elevated inflation pressures. Consensus analyst forecasts point to 14.5% post-meeting, backed by real capital on the platform. Realistic challenges include supply-side shocks reigniting price growth or persistent wage pressures, potentially prompting a hold.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiRusya Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?
Rusya Merkez Bankası'nın Nisan ayındaki kararı mı?
Düşüş 96.9%
Değişiklik Yok 2.9%
Artış <1%
$150,052 Hac.
$150,052 Hac.
24 Nis 2026
Düşüş
97%
Değişiklik Yok
3%
Artış
<1%
Düşüş 96.9%
Değişiklik Yok 2.9%
Artış <1%
$150,052 Hac.
$150,052 Hac.
24 Nis 2026
Düşüş
$51,744 Hac.
97%
Değişiklik Yok
$27,240 Hac.
3%
Artış
$71,068 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 96.9% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24 meeting, reflecting sustained disinflation after March 2026 CPI slowed to 5.86% year-over-year—below prior peaks—and household inflation expectations eased to 12.9%. This follows the central bank's March 20 cut of 50 basis points to 15.00%, signaling an ongoing easing cycle amid balanced risks, with Governor Nabiullina declaring an end to five years of elevated inflation pressures. Consensus analyst forecasts point to 14.5% post-meeting, backed by real capital on the platform. Realistic challenges include supply-side shocks reigniting price growth or persistent wage pressures, potentially prompting a hold.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Hacim
$150,052Bitiş Tarihi
24 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 96.9% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24 meeting, reflecting sustained disinflation after March 2026 CPI slowed to 5.86% year-over-year—below prior peaks—and household inflation expectations eased to 12.9%. This follows the central bank's March 20 cut of 50 basis points to 15.00%, signaling an ongoing easing cycle amid balanced risks, with Governor Nabiullina declaring an end to five years of elevated inflation pressures. Consensus analyst forecasts point to 14.5% post-meeting, backed by real capital on the platform. Realistic challenges include supply-side shocks reigniting price growth or persistent wage pressures, potentially prompting a hold.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Hacim
$150,052Bitiş Tarihi
24 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 96.9% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 24 meeting, reflecting sustained disinflation after March 2026 CPI slowed to 5.86% year-over-year—below prior peaks—and household inflation expectations eased to 12.9%. This follows the central bank's March 20 cut of 50 basis points to 15.00%, signaling an ongoing easing cycle amid balanced risks, with Governor Nabiullina declaring an end to five years of elevated inflation pressures. Consensus analyst forecasts point to 14.5% post-meeting, backed by real capital on the platform. Realistic challenges include supply-side shocks reigniting price growth or persistent wage pressures, potentially prompting a hold.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular