Acting President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election due to her incumbency advantage and high name recognition from serving as vice president under Rumen Radev, whose recent resignation elevated her amid ongoing political instability. Nikolai Denkov follows at 26.5%, buoyed by We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria's (PP-DB) solid parliamentary polling ahead of the April 19 snap legislative vote, positioning him as a pro-EU challenger. Rosen Zhelyazkov's 13.0% reflects GERB's recovery in recent surveys like Market Links (April 7-14), while vote fragmentation among Boyko Borissov and others keeps the race open for a potential runoff. Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria party dominating parliamentary polls at 37% could indirectly bolster the socialist bloc supporting Iotova, though foreign interference concerns loom over the imminent vote.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBulgaristan Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimi
Bulgaristan Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimi
İliana İotova 42%
Nikolai Denkov 26%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 13%
Blagomir Kotsev 8.8%
$63,545 Hac.
$63,545 Hac.

İliana İotova
42%

Nikolai Denkov
26%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
13%

Blagomir Kotsev
9%

Boyko Borissov
4%

Vassil Terziev
3%

Rosen Plevneliev
2%

Kostadin Kostadinov
2%

Yanaki Stoilov
2%

Atanas Atanasov
1%

Delyan Peevski
1%

Krum Zarkov
1%

Natalia Kiselova
1%
İliana İotova 42%
Nikolai Denkov 26%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 13%
Blagomir Kotsev 8.8%
$63,545 Hac.
$63,545 Hac.

İliana İotova
42%

Nikolai Denkov
26%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
13%

Blagomir Kotsev
9%

Boyko Borissov
4%

Vassil Terziev
3%

Rosen Plevneliev
2%

Kostadin Kostadinov
2%

Yanaki Stoilov
2%

Atanas Atanasov
1%

Delyan Peevski
1%

Krum Zarkov
1%

Natalia Kiselova
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Acting President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election due to her incumbency advantage and high name recognition from serving as vice president under Rumen Radev, whose recent resignation elevated her amid ongoing political instability. Nikolai Denkov follows at 26.5%, buoyed by We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria's (PP-DB) solid parliamentary polling ahead of the April 19 snap legislative vote, positioning him as a pro-EU challenger. Rosen Zhelyazkov's 13.0% reflects GERB's recovery in recent surveys like Market Links (April 7-14), while vote fragmentation among Boyko Borissov and others keeps the race open for a potential runoff. Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria party dominating parliamentary polls at 37% could indirectly bolster the socialist bloc supporting Iotova, though foreign interference concerns loom over the imminent vote.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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