Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 25°C at 33.5% implied probability for Beijing on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and World Meteorological Centre Beijing forecasts projecting around 24°C under sunny skies and southerly winds, following rainy conditions with highs of 13-17°C on April 16. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a tight 22-25°C spread, reflecting minor uncertainties in peak afternoon heating, urban heat island amplification in Beijing's dense core, and potential lingering clouds. Lower outcomes like 23°C (16%) or 22°C (11%) gain traction if winds weaken or overcast persists, while 26°C+ remains unlikely absent stronger warm advection; watch CMA hourly updates and real-time observations for shifts before resolution based on official airport measurements.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
25°C 35%
23°C 16%
24°C 16%
22°C 12%
YENİ
$23,775 Hac.
YENİ
$23,775 Hac.
17 Nis 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
12%
23°C
16%
24°C
16%
25°C
35%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 35%
23°C 16%
24°C 16%
22°C 12%
YENİ
$23,775 Hac.
YENİ
$23,775 Hac.
17 Nis 2026
21°C or below
$3,335 Hac.
3%
22°C
$2,754 Hac.
12%
23°C
$2,496 Hac.
16%
24°C
$1,950 Hac.
16%
25°C
$1,177 Hac.
35%
26°C
$2,477 Hac.
9%
27°C
$1,557 Hac.
3%
28°C
$2,676 Hac.
1%
29°C
$2,062 Hac.
1%
30°C
$1,720 Hac.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,588 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 25°C at 33.5% implied probability for Beijing on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and World Meteorological Centre Beijing forecasts projecting around 24°C under sunny skies and southerly winds, following rainy conditions with highs of 13-17°C on April 16. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a tight 22-25°C spread, reflecting minor uncertainties in peak afternoon heating, urban heat island amplification in Beijing's dense core, and potential lingering clouds. Lower outcomes like 23°C (16%) or 22°C (11%) gain traction if winds weaken or overcast persists, while 26°C+ remains unlikely absent stronger warm advection; watch CMA hourly updates and real-time observations for shifts before resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ET
Hacim
$23,775Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 25°C at 33.5% implied probability for Beijing on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and World Meteorological Centre Beijing forecasts projecting around 24°C under sunny skies and southerly winds, following rainy conditions with highs of 13-17°C on April 16. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a tight 22-25°C spread, reflecting minor uncertainties in peak afternoon heating, urban heat island amplification in Beijing's dense core, and potential lingering clouds. Lower outcomes like 23°C (16%) or 22°C (11%) gain traction if winds weaken or overcast persists, while 26°C+ remains unlikely absent stronger warm advection; watch CMA hourly updates and real-time observations for shifts before resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$23,775Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 25°C at 33.5% implied probability for Beijing on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and World Meteorological Centre Beijing forecasts projecting around 24°C under sunny skies and southerly winds, following rainy conditions with highs of 13-17°C on April 16. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a tight 22-25°C spread, reflecting minor uncertainties in peak afternoon heating, urban heat island amplification in Beijing's dense core, and potential lingering clouds. Lower outcomes like 23°C (16%) or 22°C (11%) gain traction if winds weaken or overcast persists, while 26°C+ remains unlikely absent stronger warm advection; watch CMA hourly updates and real-time observations for shifts before resolution based on official airport measurements.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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