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17 Nisan'da Hong Kong'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?

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17 Nisan'da Hong Kong'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?

29°C 44%

28°C 37%

30°C 17%

27°C 4.3%

Polymarket
YENİ

$52,019 Hac.

29°C 44%

28°C 37%

30°C 17%

27°C 4.3%

Polymarket
YENİ

$52,019 Hac.

21°C veya altında

$7,942 Hac.

<1%

22°C

$5,730 Hac.

1%

23°C

$9,831 Hac.

1%

24°C

$7,053 Hac.

<1%

25°C

$5,597 Hac.

1%

26°C

$3,671 Hac.

1%

27°C

$3,872 Hac.

4%

28°C

$2,149 Hac.

37%

29°C

$2,544 Hac.

44%

30°C

$2,050 Hac.

17%

31°C veya daha yüksek

$1,882 Hac.

3%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated early April 16, projects a maximum temperature of 25–29°C on April 17 under a southerly airstream delivering hot, humid conditions with mainly cloudy skies, a few showers, and sunny intervals. Trader consensus tilts toward 29°C at 41.5% implied probability over 28°C at 36.5%, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover duration: prolonged sunny periods could enable peak solar heating near 29°C, while increased showers or overcast skies might cap highs at 28°C, as high relative humidity (70–95%) limits daytime warming via evaporative cooling. Today's observed 30°C high exceeded similar forecasts, heightening 30°C odds to 17%; next HKO update expected midday April 16 may refine model consensus amid approaching low-pressure trough.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$52,019
Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated early April 16, projects a maximum temperature of 25–29°C on April 17 under a southerly airstream delivering hot, humid conditions with mainly cloudy skies, a few showers, and sunny intervals. Trader consensus tilts toward 29°C at 41.5% implied probability over 28°C at 36.5%, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover duration: prolonged sunny periods could enable peak solar heating near 29°C, while increased showers or overcast skies might cap highs at 28°C, as high relative humidity (70–95%) limits daytime warming via evaporative cooling. Today's observed 30°C high exceeded similar forecasts, heightening 30°C odds to 17%; next HKO update expected midday April 16 may refine model consensus amid approaching low-pressure trough.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$52,019
Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"17 Nisan'da Hong Kong'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 11 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 44% ile "29°C", ardından 37% ile "28°C" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 44¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 44% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "17 Nisan'da Hong Kong'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?" toplam $52K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Apr 15, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"17 Nisan'da Hong Kong'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 11 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"17 Nisan'da Hong Kong'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?" için mevcut favori 44% ile "29°C"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 44% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 37% ile "28°C"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"17 Nisan'da Hong Kong'daki en yüksek sıcaklık?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.