Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Jeddah's April 18 high temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 37°C (23%), 38°C (22.5%), and 39°C (22.5%), driven by the National Center of Meteorology's (NCM) recent forecasts of clearing skies and strengthening high-pressure subsidence following above-average April rainfall that capped April 14 highs at 32°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport. Long-range models, including those underlying AccuWeather's 32–38°C monthly range, project upper-30s peaks amid northerly winds and low humidity (around 38%), but small variances in Red Sea sea-breeze strength, dust aerosol effects, and residual cloud cover could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. NCM daily updates through April 19 will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 18?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 18?
37°C 23%
38°C 22%
39°C 22%
40°C 18%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
33°C or below
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
9%
36°C
12%
37°C
23%
38°C
22%
39°C
22%
40°C
18%
41°C
11%
42°C
6%
43°C or higher
1%
37°C 23%
38°C 22%
39°C 22%
40°C 18%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
33°C or below
$144 Hac.
1%
34°C
$48 Hac.
1%
35°C
$6 Hac.
9%
36°C
$0 Hac.
12%
37°C
$0 Hac.
23%
38°C
$0 Hac.
22%
39°C
$0 Hac.
22%
40°C
$2 Hac.
18%
41°C
$0 Hac.
11%
42°C
$31 Hac.
6%
43°C or higher
$114 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Jeddah's April 18 high temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 37°C (23%), 38°C (22.5%), and 39°C (22.5%), driven by the National Center of Meteorology's (NCM) recent forecasts of clearing skies and strengthening high-pressure subsidence following above-average April rainfall that capped April 14 highs at 32°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport. Long-range models, including those underlying AccuWeather's 32–38°C monthly range, project upper-30s peaks amid northerly winds and low humidity (around 38%), but small variances in Red Sea sea-breeze strength, dust aerosol effects, and residual cloud cover could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. NCM daily updates through April 19 will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Hacim
$346Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Jeddah's April 18 high temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 37°C (23%), 38°C (22.5%), and 39°C (22.5%), driven by the National Center of Meteorology's (NCM) recent forecasts of clearing skies and strengthening high-pressure subsidence following above-average April rainfall that capped April 14 highs at 32°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport. Long-range models, including those underlying AccuWeather's 32–38°C monthly range, project upper-30s peaks amid northerly winds and low humidity (around 38%), but small variances in Red Sea sea-breeze strength, dust aerosol effects, and residual cloud cover could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. NCM daily updates through April 19 will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$346Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Jeddah's April 18 high temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 37°C (23%), 38°C (22.5%), and 39°C (22.5%), driven by the National Center of Meteorology's (NCM) recent forecasts of clearing skies and strengthening high-pressure subsidence following above-average April rainfall that capped April 14 highs at 32°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport. Long-range models, including those underlying AccuWeather's 32–38°C monthly range, project upper-30s peaks amid northerly winds and low humidity (around 38%), but small variances in Red Sea sea-breeze strength, dust aerosol effects, and residual cloud cover could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. NCM daily updates through April 19 will refine guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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