Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature on April 18, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 31–34°C amid divergent model outputs and coastal influences. Early April's record-breaking westerly disturbance delivered unseasonal heavy rain—38.7 mm on April 2–3—suppressing maxima below climatological norms of 33–35°C, as seen in recent PMD observations (e.g., 29.1°C on April 7, rebounding to 34°C on April 15). Now, subsidence under a high-pressure ridge promises clear skies and strong insolation, per GFS and ECMWF ensembles averaging 32–34°C, but persistent southwest sea breezes could moderate peaks by enhancing low-level moisture advection. PMD's April 16–19 advisory flags rain only in upper Pakistan, favoring drier, hotter outcomes; watch evening bulletins and model refreshes April 17 for shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Karachi on April 18?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 18?
35°C or higher 27%
34°C 25%
33°C 23%
31°C 20%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
8%
31°C
20%
32°C
12%
33°C
23%
34°C
25%
35°C or higher
27%
35°C or higher 27%
34°C 25%
33°C 23%
31°C 20%
YENİ
YENİ
18 Nis 2026
25°C or below
$111 Hac.
1%
26°C
$228 Hac.
1%
27°C
$166 Hac.
1%
28°C
$108 Hac.
3%
29°C
$22 Hac.
6%
30°C
$0 Hac.
8%
31°C
$5 Hac.
20%
32°C
$0 Hac.
12%
33°C
$0 Hac.
23%
34°C
$11 Hac.
25%
35°C or higher
$5 Hac.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature on April 18, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 31–34°C amid divergent model outputs and coastal influences. Early April's record-breaking westerly disturbance delivered unseasonal heavy rain—38.7 mm on April 2–3—suppressing maxima below climatological norms of 33–35°C, as seen in recent PMD observations (e.g., 29.1°C on April 7, rebounding to 34°C on April 15). Now, subsidence under a high-pressure ridge promises clear skies and strong insolation, per GFS and ECMWF ensembles averaging 32–34°C, but persistent southwest sea breezes could moderate peaks by enhancing low-level moisture advection. PMD's April 16–19 advisory flags rain only in upper Pakistan, favoring drier, hotter outcomes; watch evening bulletins and model refreshes April 17 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Hacim
$656Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature on April 18, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 31–34°C amid divergent model outputs and coastal influences. Early April's record-breaking westerly disturbance delivered unseasonal heavy rain—38.7 mm on April 2–3—suppressing maxima below climatological norms of 33–35°C, as seen in recent PMD observations (e.g., 29.1°C on April 7, rebounding to 34°C on April 15). Now, subsidence under a high-pressure ridge promises clear skies and strong insolation, per GFS and ECMWF ensembles averaging 32–34°C, but persistent southwest sea breezes could moderate peaks by enhancing low-level moisture advection. PMD's April 16–19 advisory flags rain only in upper Pakistan, favoring drier, hotter outcomes; watch evening bulletins and model refreshes April 17 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$656Bitiş Tarihi
18 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Karachi's highest temperature on April 18, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 31–34°C amid divergent model outputs and coastal influences. Early April's record-breaking westerly disturbance delivered unseasonal heavy rain—38.7 mm on April 2–3—suppressing maxima below climatological norms of 33–35°C, as seen in recent PMD observations (e.g., 29.1°C on April 7, rebounding to 34°C on April 15). Now, subsidence under a high-pressure ridge promises clear skies and strong insolation, per GFS and ECMWF ensembles averaging 32–34°C, but persistent southwest sea breezes could moderate peaks by enhancing low-level moisture advection. PMD's April 16–19 advisory flags rain only in upper Pakistan, favoring drier, hotter outcomes; watch evening bulletins and model refreshes April 17 for shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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