The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest regional forecast for the Valle de México pegs Mexico City's high on April 17 at 28-30°C, fueling trader consensus with 29°C leading at 33% implied probability amid an ongoing onda de calor gripping central Mexico since April 13. Persistent high-pressure subsidence and northerly winds at 10-20 km/h with gusts to 40 km/h promote downslope warming and mostly clear skies, though incoming Pacific and Gulf moisture may introduce afternoon partial cloudiness, differentiating outcomes—capping at 28°C if clouds thicken or boosting to 30°C under sunnier persistence. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show tight spread around 28-29°C, above April's 26-27°C historical average, amplified by urban heat island effects; new overnight runs and hourly observations could sharpen odds before resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 33%
28°C 25%
30°C 23%
31°C 11%
YENİ
YENİ
17 Nis 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
25%
29°C
33%
30°C
25%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 33%
28°C 25%
30°C 23%
31°C 11%
YENİ
YENİ
17 Nis 2026
25°C or below
$967 Hac.
1%
26°C
$2,504 Hac.
1%
27°C
$766 Hac.
6%
28°C
$271 Hac.
25%
29°C
$311 Hac.
33%
30°C
$153 Hac.
25%
31°C
$347 Hac.
11%
32°C
$677 Hac.
3%
33°C
$639 Hac.
1%
34°C
$607 Hac.
1%
35°C or higher
$2,086 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest regional forecast for the Valle de México pegs Mexico City's high on April 17 at 28-30°C, fueling trader consensus with 29°C leading at 33% implied probability amid an ongoing onda de calor gripping central Mexico since April 13. Persistent high-pressure subsidence and northerly winds at 10-20 km/h with gusts to 40 km/h promote downslope warming and mostly clear skies, though incoming Pacific and Gulf moisture may introduce afternoon partial cloudiness, differentiating outcomes—capping at 28°C if clouds thicken or boosting to 30°C under sunnier persistence. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show tight spread around 28-29°C, above April's 26-27°C historical average, amplified by urban heat island effects; new overnight runs and hourly observations could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Hacim
$9,214Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest regional forecast for the Valle de México pegs Mexico City's high on April 17 at 28-30°C, fueling trader consensus with 29°C leading at 33% implied probability amid an ongoing onda de calor gripping central Mexico since April 13. Persistent high-pressure subsidence and northerly winds at 10-20 km/h with gusts to 40 km/h promote downslope warming and mostly clear skies, though incoming Pacific and Gulf moisture may introduce afternoon partial cloudiness, differentiating outcomes—capping at 28°C if clouds thicken or boosting to 30°C under sunnier persistence. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show tight spread around 28-29°C, above April's 26-27°C historical average, amplified by urban heat island effects; new overnight runs and hourly observations could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$9,214Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest regional forecast for the Valle de México pegs Mexico City's high on April 17 at 28-30°C, fueling trader consensus with 29°C leading at 33% implied probability amid an ongoing onda de calor gripping central Mexico since April 13. Persistent high-pressure subsidence and northerly winds at 10-20 km/h with gusts to 40 km/h promote downslope warming and mostly clear skies, though incoming Pacific and Gulf moisture may introduce afternoon partial cloudiness, differentiating outcomes—capping at 28°C if clouds thicken or boosting to 30°C under sunnier persistence. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show tight spread around 28-29°C, above April's 26-27°C historical average, amplified by urban heat island effects; new overnight runs and hourly observations could sharpen odds before resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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