Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Mexico City high of 29°C at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 30°C (23%) and 28°C (20%), driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts consistently projecting 27-29°C maxima for the Valle de México through mid-April, matching recent observations like Tacubaya's 28°C peak. High uncertainty stems from variable afternoon cloudiness and isolated showers potentially capping peaks below 29°C, while clearer skies and urban heat island effects could push toward 30°C or higher. Northerly winds gusting to 40 km/h may mix cooler air, lowering odds for extremes above 32°C or below 27°C. Updated SMN regional guidance expected later today could shift model consensus ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official airport measurements.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 33%
30°C 23%
28°C 20%
31°C 14%
YENİ
YENİ
17 Nis 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
20%
29°C
33%
30°C
23%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 33%
30°C 23%
28°C 20%
31°C 14%
YENİ
YENİ
17 Nis 2026
25°C or below
$967 Hac.
1%
26°C
$2,445 Hac.
1%
27°C
$690 Hac.
6%
28°C
$271 Hac.
20%
29°C
$311 Hac.
33%
30°C
$149 Hac.
23%
31°C
$300 Hac.
14%
32°C
$661 Hac.
3%
33°C
$639 Hac.
1%
34°C
$566 Hac.
1%
35°C or higher
$2,086 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Mexico City high of 29°C at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 30°C (23%) and 28°C (20%), driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts consistently projecting 27-29°C maxima for the Valle de México through mid-April, matching recent observations like Tacubaya's 28°C peak. High uncertainty stems from variable afternoon cloudiness and isolated showers potentially capping peaks below 29°C, while clearer skies and urban heat island effects could push toward 30°C or higher. Northerly winds gusting to 40 km/h may mix cooler air, lowering odds for extremes above 32°C or below 27°C. Updated SMN regional guidance expected later today could shift model consensus ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Hacim
$9,072Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Mexico City high of 29°C at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 30°C (23%) and 28°C (20%), driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts consistently projecting 27-29°C maxima for the Valle de México through mid-April, matching recent observations like Tacubaya's 28°C peak. High uncertainty stems from variable afternoon cloudiness and isolated showers potentially capping peaks below 29°C, while clearer skies and urban heat island effects could push toward 30°C or higher. Northerly winds gusting to 40 km/h may mix cooler air, lowering odds for extremes above 32°C or below 27°C. Updated SMN regional guidance expected later today could shift model consensus ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$9,072Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Mexico City high of 29°C at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 30°C (23%) and 28°C (20%), driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts consistently projecting 27-29°C maxima for the Valle de México through mid-April, matching recent observations like Tacubaya's 28°C peak. High uncertainty stems from variable afternoon cloudiness and isolated showers potentially capping peaks below 29°C, while clearer skies and urban heat island effects could push toward 30°C or higher. Northerly winds gusting to 40 km/h may mix cooler air, lowering odds for extremes above 32°C or below 27°C. Updated SMN regional guidance expected later today could shift model consensus ahead of tomorrow's resolution based on official airport measurements.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular