President Trump's approval rating has dipped to a polling average of 41.5% on RealClearPolitics as of mid-April 2026, with net disapproval around -15 to -18 across trackers like Nate Silver's Bulletin and The Economist, marking second-term lows. Recent declines stem from the Iran conflict's escalation in late March, which drove net approval down sharply despite a subsequent two-week ceasefire, compounded by worsening economic perceptions, high gas prices, and softening support among Republicans, Latinos, and young men. Quinnipiac and CBS polls show approvals as low as 38-39% in early April. Traders eye 2026 midterm elections in November, where historical precedents favor the opposition party amid low incumbency ratings, alongside upcoming economic data releases, debt ceiling talks, and foreign policy developments that could push ratings lower or spark rebounds.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$62,242 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
35%
41%
30%
13%
25%
6%
20%
3%
$62,242 Hac.
35%
$33,246 Hac.
41%
30%
$5,401 Hac.
13%
25%
$1,582 Hac.
6%
20%
$2,513 Hac.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has dipped to a polling average of 41.5% on RealClearPolitics as of mid-April 2026, with net disapproval around -15 to -18 across trackers like Nate Silver's Bulletin and The Economist, marking second-term lows. Recent declines stem from the Iran conflict's escalation in late March, which drove net approval down sharply despite a subsequent two-week ceasefire, compounded by worsening economic perceptions, high gas prices, and softening support among Republicans, Latinos, and young men. Quinnipiac and CBS polls show approvals as low as 38-39% in early April. Traders eye 2026 midterm elections in November, where historical precedents favor the opposition party amid low incumbency ratings, alongside upcoming economic data releases, debt ceiling talks, and foreign policy developments that could push ratings lower or spark rebounds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Hacim
$62,242Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has dipped to a polling average of 41.5% on RealClearPolitics as of mid-April 2026, with net disapproval around -15 to -18 across trackers like Nate Silver's Bulletin and The Economist, marking second-term lows. Recent declines stem from the Iran conflict's escalation in late March, which drove net approval down sharply despite a subsequent two-week ceasefire, compounded by worsening economic perceptions, high gas prices, and softening support among Republicans, Latinos, and young men. Quinnipiac and CBS polls show approvals as low as 38-39% in early April. Traders eye 2026 midterm elections in November, where historical precedents favor the opposition party amid low incumbency ratings, alongside upcoming economic data releases, debt ceiling talks, and foreign policy developments that could push ratings lower or spark rebounds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Hacim
$62,242Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating has dipped to a polling average of 41.5% on RealClearPolitics as of mid-April 2026, with net disapproval around -15 to -18 across trackers like Nate Silver's Bulletin and The Economist, marking second-term lows. Recent declines stem from the Iran conflict's escalation in late March, which drove net approval down sharply despite a subsequent two-week ceasefire, compounded by worsening economic perceptions, high gas prices, and softening support among Republicans, Latinos, and young men. Quinnipiac and CBS polls show approvals as low as 38-39% in early April. Traders eye 2026 midterm elections in November, where historical precedents favor the opposition party amid low incumbency ratings, alongside upcoming economic data releases, debt ceiling talks, and foreign policy developments that could push ratings lower or spark rebounds.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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