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Seçimler·House Primary

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

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Seçimler·House Primary

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Lindsay James 47%

Clint Twedt-Ball 22%

Kathy Dolter 14%

Guy Morgan 3.0%

Polymarket
YENİ

Lindsay James 47%

Clint Twedt-Ball 22%

Kathy Dolter 14%

Guy Morgan 3.0%

Polymarket
YENİ

Lindsay James

$2,175 Hac.

49%

Clint Twedt-Ball

$1,111 Hac.

39%

Kathy Dolter

$1,430 Hac.

14%

Guy Morgan

$618 Hac.

3%

Don Primus

$535 Hac.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Iowa's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid, trader consensus favors state Rep. Lindsay James at 47.5% over pastor Clint Twedt-Ball at 40.5%, driven by James's legislative experience, national endorsements from EMILY's List and End Citizens United, and superior fundraising with over $450,000 raised through late 2025. Twedt-Ball remains close via grassroots momentum, including his April 6 cost-lowering plan on housing, health care, and energy, plus a well-attended Cedar Rapids field office opening around April 9 signaling organizational strength. Absent public polls, the contest stays tight; late endorsements, debates, or Q1 FEC reports could tip balances before early voting begins May 13 ahead of the June 2 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$5,869
Bitiş Tarihi
2 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Iowa's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid, trader consensus favors state Rep. Lindsay James at 47.5% over pastor Clint Twedt-Ball at 40.5%, driven by James's legislative experience, national endorsements from EMILY's List and End Citizens United, and superior fundraising with over $450,000 raised through late 2025. Twedt-Ball remains close via grassroots momentum, including his April 6 cost-lowering plan on housing, health care, and energy, plus a well-attended Cedar Rapids field office opening around April 9 signaling organizational strength. Absent public polls, the contest stays tight; late endorsements, debates, or Q1 FEC reports could tip balances before early voting begins May 13 ahead of the June 2 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$5,869
Bitiş Tarihi
2 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 5 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 49% ile "Lindsay James", ardından 39% ile "Clint Twedt-Ball" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 49¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 49% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Feb 25, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 5 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" için mevcut favori 49% ile "Lindsay James"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 49% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 39% ile "Clint Twedt-Ball"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.