Incumbent Republican Rep. Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 17, 2026, Illinois primary, setting up a general election matchup against Democrat Jennifer Todd in the strongly Republican IL-15 district, which carries a partisan voting index of R+17 and routinely delivers large GOP margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for a Republican win reflects the district's rural conservative base in southern Illinois, Miller's fundraising edge exceeding $780,000 early, and absence of competitive polling or ratings shifts, with forecasters like Cook Political viewing it as Solid Republican. While a national Democratic wave, major scandal hitting Miller, or her unexpected withdrawal could challenge this, such disruptions remain low-probability absent new catalysts before November's vote.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiIL -15 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
IL -15 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
$10,676 Hac.
$10,676 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
95%
Demokratik Parti
5%
$10,676 Hac.
$10,676 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
$7,097 Hac.
95%
Demokratik Parti
$3,579 Hac.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 17, 2026, Illinois primary, setting up a general election matchup against Democrat Jennifer Todd in the strongly Republican IL-15 district, which carries a partisan voting index of R+17 and routinely delivers large GOP margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for a Republican win reflects the district's rural conservative base in southern Illinois, Miller's fundraising edge exceeding $780,000 early, and absence of competitive polling or ratings shifts, with forecasters like Cook Political viewing it as Solid Republican. While a national Democratic wave, major scandal hitting Miller, or her unexpected withdrawal could challenge this, such disruptions remain low-probability absent new catalysts before November's vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Hacim
$10,676Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 17, 2026, Illinois primary, setting up a general election matchup against Democrat Jennifer Todd in the strongly Republican IL-15 district, which carries a partisan voting index of R+17 and routinely delivers large GOP margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for a Republican win reflects the district's rural conservative base in southern Illinois, Miller's fundraising edge exceeding $780,000 early, and absence of competitive polling or ratings shifts, with forecasters like Cook Political viewing it as Solid Republican. While a national Democratic wave, major scandal hitting Miller, or her unexpected withdrawal could challenge this, such disruptions remain low-probability absent new catalysts before November's vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$10,676Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Mary Miller secured her party's nomination in the March 17, 2026, Illinois primary, setting up a general election matchup against Democrat Jennifer Todd in the strongly Republican IL-15 district, which carries a partisan voting index of R+17 and routinely delivers large GOP margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for a Republican win reflects the district's rural conservative base in southern Illinois, Miller's fundraising edge exceeding $780,000 early, and absence of competitive polling or ratings shifts, with forecasters like Cook Political viewing it as Solid Republican. While a national Democratic wave, major scandal hitting Miller, or her unexpected withdrawal could challenge this, such disruptions remain low-probability absent new catalysts before November's vote.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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