A fragile US-brokered two-week ceasefire, effective since April 8 and expiring April 22, has halted major Israeli airstrikes on Iran following February 28 onset of US-Israeli operations targeting nuclear facilities, missile sites, and infrastructure. Failed Islamabad talks on April 12 over uranium enrichment and Strait of Hormuz access, coupled with US naval blockade enforcement since April 13, prompted Iranian threats to end the truce and halt Gulf trade. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz demands uranium removal as a precondition, amid ongoing Hezbollah rocket attacks and Israeli strikes in Lebanon. Upcoming negotiations hinge on US preconditions, with diplomacy or escalation poised to sway resumption of direct military action.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİsrail'in İran'a karşı askeri harekatı...?
İsrail'in İran'a karşı askeri harekatı...?
$1,563,565 Hac.
21 Nis 2026
14 Nisan
1%
21 Nisan
12%
$1,563,565 Hac.
14 Nisan
$1,119,800 Hac.
1%
21 Nisan
$443,765 Hac.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.A fragile US-brokered two-week ceasefire, effective since April 8 and expiring April 22, has halted major Israeli airstrikes on Iran following February 28 onset of US-Israeli operations targeting nuclear facilities, missile sites, and infrastructure. Failed Islamabad talks on April 12 over uranium enrichment and Strait of Hormuz access, coupled with US naval blockade enforcement since April 13, prompted Iranian threats to end the truce and halt Gulf trade. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz demands uranium removal as a precondition, amid ongoing Hezbollah rocket attacks and Israeli strikes in Lebanon. Upcoming negotiations hinge on US preconditions, with diplomacy or escalation poised to sway resumption of direct military action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ET
Hacim
$1,563,565Bitiş Tarihi
21 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.A fragile US-brokered two-week ceasefire, effective since April 8 and expiring April 22, has halted major Israeli airstrikes on Iran following February 28 onset of US-Israeli operations targeting nuclear facilities, missile sites, and infrastructure. Failed Islamabad talks on April 12 over uranium enrichment and Strait of Hormuz access, coupled with US naval blockade enforcement since April 13, prompted Iranian threats to end the truce and halt Gulf trade. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz demands uranium removal as a precondition, amid ongoing Hezbollah rocket attacks and Israeli strikes in Lebanon. Upcoming negotiations hinge on US preconditions, with diplomacy or escalation poised to sway resumption of direct military action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Hacim
$1,563,565Bitiş Tarihi
21 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A fragile US-brokered two-week ceasefire, effective since April 8 and expiring April 22, has halted major Israeli airstrikes on Iran following February 28 onset of US-Israeli operations targeting nuclear facilities, missile sites, and infrastructure. Failed Islamabad talks on April 12 over uranium enrichment and Strait of Hormuz access, coupled with US naval blockade enforcement since April 13, prompted Iranian threats to end the truce and halt Gulf trade. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz demands uranium removal as a precondition, amid ongoing Hezbollah rocket attacks and Israeli strikes in Lebanon. Upcoming negotiations hinge on US preconditions, with diplomacy or escalation poised to sway resumption of direct military action.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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