Taiwan's opposition-led Legislative Yuan, comprising 113 seats with KMT (52), DPP (51, President Lai Ching-te's party), and TPP (8), initiated impeachment proceedings against Lai in December 2025 over his refusal to sign a revised fiscal allocation law, holding public hearings in January 2026. However, constitutional requirements demand a three-quarters quorum (85 members present) and affirmative vote from three-quarters of attendees to advance impeachment to the Judicial Yuan for final review—far beyond the opposition's 60 seats. With no defections or momentum since early 2026 hearings, amid ongoing gridlock over defense budgets and failed KMT recalls, traders reflect near-certain consensus that the May 19 vote will fail. Only extraordinary DPP crossovers or scandals could shift this before June 30 resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiLai Ching - te 30 Haziran'a kadar azledildi mi?
Lai Ching - te 30 Haziran'a kadar azledildi mi?
Evet
$14,364 Hac.
$14,364 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
Evet
$14,364 Hac.
$14,364 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition-led Legislative Yuan, comprising 113 seats with KMT (52), DPP (51, President Lai Ching-te's party), and TPP (8), initiated impeachment proceedings against Lai in December 2025 over his refusal to sign a revised fiscal allocation law, holding public hearings in January 2026. However, constitutional requirements demand a three-quarters quorum (85 members present) and affirmative vote from three-quarters of attendees to advance impeachment to the Judicial Yuan for final review—far beyond the opposition's 60 seats. With no defections or momentum since early 2026 hearings, amid ongoing gridlock over defense budgets and failed KMT recalls, traders reflect near-certain consensus that the May 19 vote will fail. Only extraordinary DPP crossovers or scandals could shift this before June 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Hacim
$14,364Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition-led Legislative Yuan, comprising 113 seats with KMT (52), DPP (51, President Lai Ching-te's party), and TPP (8), initiated impeachment proceedings against Lai in December 2025 over his refusal to sign a revised fiscal allocation law, holding public hearings in January 2026. However, constitutional requirements demand a three-quarters quorum (85 members present) and affirmative vote from three-quarters of attendees to advance impeachment to the Judicial Yuan for final review—far beyond the opposition's 60 seats. With no defections or momentum since early 2026 hearings, amid ongoing gridlock over defense budgets and failed KMT recalls, traders reflect near-certain consensus that the May 19 vote will fail. Only extraordinary DPP crossovers or scandals could shift this before June 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Hacim
$14,364Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition-led Legislative Yuan, comprising 113 seats with KMT (52), DPP (51, President Lai Ching-te's party), and TPP (8), initiated impeachment proceedings against Lai in December 2025 over his refusal to sign a revised fiscal allocation law, holding public hearings in January 2026. However, constitutional requirements demand a three-quarters quorum (85 members present) and affirmative vote from three-quarters of attendees to advance impeachment to the Judicial Yuan for final review—far beyond the opposition's 60 seats. With no defections or momentum since early 2026 hearings, amid ongoing gridlock over defense budgets and failed KMT recalls, traders reflect near-certain consensus that the May 19 vote will fail. Only extraordinary DPP crossovers or scandals could shift this before June 30 resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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