President Trump's recent threats to withdraw the United States from NATO, amid allies' refusal to provide bases, overflights, or support for Iran war operations like securing the Strait of Hormuz, have fueled transatlantic tensions but failed to shift trader consensus significantly. A 2024 law requires two-thirds Senate approval or congressional action for U.S. exit under Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty, presenting a historically unmet high bar with no proceedings initiated. Ongoing NATO initiatives, including new multinational capability projects and the July 2026 Ankara summit, underscore institutional continuity, reinforcing the wisdom-of-crowds implied probability against dissolution before 2027 barring unprecedented legislative shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiNATO 2027 'den önce mi dağıldı?
NATO 2027 'den önce mi dağıldı?
Evet
$72,358 Hac.
$72,358 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$72,358 Hac.
$72,358 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's recent threats to withdraw the United States from NATO, amid allies' refusal to provide bases, overflights, or support for Iran war operations like securing the Strait of Hormuz, have fueled transatlantic tensions but failed to shift trader consensus significantly. A 2024 law requires two-thirds Senate approval or congressional action for U.S. exit under Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty, presenting a historically unmet high bar with no proceedings initiated. Ongoing NATO initiatives, including new multinational capability projects and the July 2026 Ankara summit, underscore institutional continuity, reinforcing the wisdom-of-crowds implied probability against dissolution before 2027 barring unprecedented legislative shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 8, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Hacim
$72,358Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 8, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's recent threats to withdraw the United States from NATO, amid allies' refusal to provide bases, overflights, or support for Iran war operations like securing the Strait of Hormuz, have fueled transatlantic tensions but failed to shift trader consensus significantly. A 2024 law requires two-thirds Senate approval or congressional action for U.S. exit under Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty, presenting a historically unmet high bar with no proceedings initiated. Ongoing NATO initiatives, including new multinational capability projects and the July 2026 Ankara summit, underscore institutional continuity, reinforcing the wisdom-of-crowds implied probability against dissolution before 2027 barring unprecedented legislative shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$72,358Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 8, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent threats to withdraw the United States from NATO, amid allies' refusal to provide bases, overflights, or support for Iran war operations like securing the Strait of Hormuz, have fueled transatlantic tensions but failed to shift trader consensus significantly. A 2024 law requires two-thirds Senate approval or congressional action for U.S. exit under Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty, presenting a historically unmet high bar with no proceedings initiated. Ongoing NATO initiatives, including new multinational capability projects and the July 2026 Ankara summit, underscore institutional continuity, reinforcing the wisdom-of-crowds implied probability against dissolution before 2027 barring unprecedented legislative shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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