Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 92.5% in Oregon's 1st Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index—58th most Democratic nationally—and incumbent Rep. Suzanne Bonamici's strong track record of general election margins exceeding 64% since 2020. Bonamici holds a commanding fundraising edge with $535,000 cash on hand through late 2025, dwarfing minimal challenger activity ahead of the May 19, 2026 primaries, where she crushed opponents 90% in 2024. Republican primary contenders Barbara Kahl and John Verbeek enter a contest marked by past GOP peaks near 35%. Shifts could arise from a Democratic primary upset, Bonamici scandal or health issue, superior GOP nominee recruitment, or a national midterm Republican wave.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
YENİ
YENİ
3 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
$817 Hac.
93%
Republican Party
$0 Hac.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 92.5% in Oregon's 1st Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index—58th most Democratic nationally—and incumbent Rep. Suzanne Bonamici's strong track record of general election margins exceeding 64% since 2020. Bonamici holds a commanding fundraising edge with $535,000 cash on hand through late 2025, dwarfing minimal challenger activity ahead of the May 19, 2026 primaries, where she crushed opponents 90% in 2024. Republican primary contenders Barbara Kahl and John Verbeek enter a contest marked by past GOP peaks near 35%. Shifts could arise from a Democratic primary upset, Bonamici scandal or health issue, superior GOP nominee recruitment, or a national midterm Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Hacim
$817Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 92.5% in Oregon's 1st Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index—58th most Democratic nationally—and incumbent Rep. Suzanne Bonamici's strong track record of general election margins exceeding 64% since 2020. Bonamici holds a commanding fundraising edge with $535,000 cash on hand through late 2025, dwarfing minimal challenger activity ahead of the May 19, 2026 primaries, where she crushed opponents 90% in 2024. Republican primary contenders Barbara Kahl and John Verbeek enter a contest marked by past GOP peaks near 35%. Shifts could arise from a Democratic primary upset, Bonamici scandal or health issue, superior GOP nominee recruitment, or a national midterm Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$817Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 92.5% in Oregon's 1st Congressional District House race, driven by the district's D+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index—58th most Democratic nationally—and incumbent Rep. Suzanne Bonamici's strong track record of general election margins exceeding 64% since 2020. Bonamici holds a commanding fundraising edge with $535,000 cash on hand through late 2025, dwarfing minimal challenger activity ahead of the May 19, 2026 primaries, where she crushed opponents 90% in 2024. Republican primary contenders Barbara Kahl and John Verbeek enter a contest marked by past GOP peaks near 35%. Shifts could arise from a Democratic primary upset, Bonamici scandal or health issue, superior GOP nominee recruitment, or a national midterm Republican wave.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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