Trader consensus favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 58% market-implied odds, driven by an exceptionally dry start with just 0.35 inches recorded at Central Park through April 15—versus the climatological normal of 2.03 inches for the period—reflecting persistent high-pressure ridging and above-normal temperatures suppressing storm development. NOAA National Weather Service summaries confirm this stark deficit, while Climate Prediction Center outlooks show equal chances or below-normal precipitation probabilities for the Northeast through late April amid ENSO-neutral conditions. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate limited rain events in the remaining two weeks, though inherent spring forecast uncertainty persists; watch for updated week 3-4 outlooks releasing soon.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiNisan ayında NYC'de yağış mı?
Nisan ayında NYC'de yağış mı?
<2" 58.5%
2-3" 19%
4-5" 5.8%
>6" 5.7%
$46,499 Hac.
$46,499 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
<2"
59%
2-3"
19%
3-4"
3%
4-5"
6%
5-6"
2%
>6"
6%
<2" 58.5%
2-3" 19%
4-5" 5.8%
>6" 5.7%
$46,499 Hac.
$46,499 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
<2"
$10,006 Hac.
59%
2-3"
$12,172 Hac.
19%
3-4"
$9,357 Hac.
3%
4-5"
$12,853 Hac.
6%
5-6"
$1,066 Hac.
2%
>6"
$1,046 Hac.
6%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 58% market-implied odds, driven by an exceptionally dry start with just 0.35 inches recorded at Central Park through April 15—versus the climatological normal of 2.03 inches for the period—reflecting persistent high-pressure ridging and above-normal temperatures suppressing storm development. NOAA National Weather Service summaries confirm this stark deficit, while Climate Prediction Center outlooks show equal chances or below-normal precipitation probabilities for the Northeast through late April amid ENSO-neutral conditions. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate limited rain events in the remaining two weeks, though inherent spring forecast uncertainty persists; watch for updated week 3-4 outlooks releasing soon.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Hacim
$46,499Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 58% market-implied odds, driven by an exceptionally dry start with just 0.35 inches recorded at Central Park through April 15—versus the climatological normal of 2.03 inches for the period—reflecting persistent high-pressure ridging and above-normal temperatures suppressing storm development. NOAA National Weather Service summaries confirm this stark deficit, while Climate Prediction Center outlooks show equal chances or below-normal precipitation probabilities for the Northeast through late April amid ENSO-neutral conditions. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate limited rain events in the remaining two weeks, though inherent spring forecast uncertainty persists; watch for updated week 3-4 outlooks releasing soon.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hacim
$46,499Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors under 2 inches of total April precipitation in New York City at 58% market-implied odds, driven by an exceptionally dry start with just 0.35 inches recorded at Central Park through April 15—versus the climatological normal of 2.03 inches for the period—reflecting persistent high-pressure ridging and above-normal temperatures suppressing storm development. NOAA National Weather Service summaries confirm this stark deficit, while Climate Prediction Center outlooks show equal chances or below-normal precipitation probabilities for the Northeast through late April amid ENSO-neutral conditions. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate limited rain events in the remaining two weeks, though inherent spring forecast uncertainty persists; watch for updated week 3-4 outlooks releasing soon.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular