Despite a US-Israel-Iran war that began with airstrikes on February 28, 2026, France, the United Kingdom, and Germany have maintained a defensive posture, issuing joint statements in early March condemning Iranian regional attacks while authorizing only US use of British bases like Diego Garcia and RAF Fairford for American operations, explicitly avoiding direct offensive involvement. A US-Israel-Iran ceasefire around April 7, followed by Germany's resumption of diplomatic talks with Tehran on April 9, has fueled de-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz, anchoring trader consensus at 96% "No" for European strikes by June 30. Realistic shifts could arise from Iranian escalation against European assets, renewed proxy attacks, or breakdowns in ceasefire negotiations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiFransa, İngiltere veya Almanya 30 Haziran'a kadar İran'ı vuracak mı?
Fransa, İngiltere veya Almanya 30 Haziran'a kadar İran'ı vuracak mı?
Evet
$733,421 Hac.
$733,421 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
Evet
$733,421 Hac.
$733,421 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite a US-Israel-Iran war that began with airstrikes on February 28, 2026, France, the United Kingdom, and Germany have maintained a defensive posture, issuing joint statements in early March condemning Iranian regional attacks while authorizing only US use of British bases like Diego Garcia and RAF Fairford for American operations, explicitly avoiding direct offensive involvement. A US-Israel-Iran ceasefire around April 7, followed by Germany's resumption of diplomatic talks with Tehran on April 9, has fueled de-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz, anchoring trader consensus at 96% "No" for European strikes by June 30. Realistic shifts could arise from Iranian escalation against European assets, renewed proxy attacks, or breakdowns in ceasefire negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET
Hacim
$733,421Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Despite a US-Israel-Iran war that began with airstrikes on February 28, 2026, France, the United Kingdom, and Germany have maintained a defensive posture, issuing joint statements in early March condemning Iranian regional attacks while authorizing only US use of British bases like Diego Garcia and RAF Fairford for American operations, explicitly avoiding direct offensive involvement. A US-Israel-Iran ceasefire around April 7, followed by Germany's resumption of diplomatic talks with Tehran on April 9, has fueled de-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz, anchoring trader consensus at 96% "No" for European strikes by June 30. Realistic shifts could arise from Iranian escalation against European assets, renewed proxy attacks, or breakdowns in ceasefire negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$733,477Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite a US-Israel-Iran war that began with airstrikes on February 28, 2026, France, the United Kingdom, and Germany have maintained a defensive posture, issuing joint statements in early March condemning Iranian regional attacks while authorizing only US use of British bases like Diego Garcia and RAF Fairford for American operations, explicitly avoiding direct offensive involvement. A US-Israel-Iran ceasefire around April 7, followed by Germany's resumption of diplomatic talks with Tehran on April 9, has fueled de-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz, anchoring trader consensus at 96% "No" for European strikes by June 30. Realistic shifts could arise from Iranian escalation against European assets, renewed proxy attacks, or breakdowns in ceasefire negotiations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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