Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.7% for an Iranian presidential election by June 30, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's ongoing four-year term, which began in July 2024 and extends through 2028 absent a vacancy. The Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination on March 1, 2026, triggered an interim leadership council including Pezeshkian alongside top judicial and legislative officials, but left the presidency intact with no snap election announced. Early March rumors of Pezeshkian's potential resignation amid internal tensions following Ali Larijani's death were unconfirmed and contradicted by his public letter to Americans on April 1 affirming his role. Constitutional rules mandate a presidential election within 50 days only if the office becomes vacant via death, resignation, or incapacity—scenarios traders deem improbable given recent stability signals.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$201,745 Hac.
$201,745 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
Evet
$201,745 Hac.
$201,745 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.7% for an Iranian presidential election by June 30, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's ongoing four-year term, which began in July 2024 and extends through 2028 absent a vacancy. The Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination on March 1, 2026, triggered an interim leadership council including Pezeshkian alongside top judicial and legislative officials, but left the presidency intact with no snap election announced. Early March rumors of Pezeshkian's potential resignation amid internal tensions following Ali Larijani's death were unconfirmed and contradicted by his public letter to Americans on April 1 affirming his role. Constitutional rules mandate a presidential election within 50 days only if the office becomes vacant via death, resignation, or incapacity—scenarios traders deem improbable given recent stability signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Hacim
$201,745Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.7% for an Iranian presidential election by June 30, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's ongoing four-year term, which began in July 2024 and extends through 2028 absent a vacancy. The Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination on March 1, 2026, triggered an interim leadership council including Pezeshkian alongside top judicial and legislative officials, but left the presidency intact with no snap election announced. Early March rumors of Pezeshkian's potential resignation amid internal tensions following Ali Larijani's death were unconfirmed and contradicted by his public letter to Americans on April 1 affirming his role. Constitutional rules mandate a presidential election within 50 days only if the office becomes vacant via death, resignation, or incapacity—scenarios traders deem improbable given recent stability signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$201,745Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.7% for an Iranian presidential election by June 30, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's ongoing four-year term, which began in July 2024 and extends through 2028 absent a vacancy. The Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination on March 1, 2026, triggered an interim leadership council including Pezeshkian alongside top judicial and legislative officials, but left the presidency intact with no snap election announced. Early March rumors of Pezeshkian's potential resignation amid internal tensions following Ali Larijani's death were unconfirmed and contradicted by his public letter to Americans on April 1 affirming his role. Constitutional rules mandate a presidential election within 50 days only if the office becomes vacant via death, resignation, or incapacity—scenarios traders deem improbable given recent stability signals.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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