Trader consensus reflects an 89.5% implied probability that Zhang Youxia will not be sentenced to prison before 2027, driven by the absence of formal charges, trial, or conviction announcements three months after China's Ministry of National Defense placed the former Central Military Commission vice chairman under investigation for serious violations of Party discipline and law on January 24, 2026. As a longtime Xi Jinping ally and Politburo member, Zhang was swiftly removed from his posts amid an expanding PLA anti-corruption purge targeting Rocket Force and senior generals, yet state media has issued no updates on judicial proceedings. His continued absence from events like the March CPPCC session underscores opacity in elite cases, where public sentencings remain rare; historical patterns suggest prolonged internal handling over swift trials, with over eight months remaining in the resolution window.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$105,794 Hac.
$105,794 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$105,794 Hac.
$105,794 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 89.5% implied probability that Zhang Youxia will not be sentenced to prison before 2027, driven by the absence of formal charges, trial, or conviction announcements three months after China's Ministry of National Defense placed the former Central Military Commission vice chairman under investigation for serious violations of Party discipline and law on January 24, 2026. As a longtime Xi Jinping ally and Politburo member, Zhang was swiftly removed from his posts amid an expanding PLA anti-corruption purge targeting Rocket Force and senior generals, yet state media has issued no updates on judicial proceedings. His continued absence from events like the March CPPCC session underscores opacity in elite cases, where public sentencings remain rare; historical patterns suggest prolonged internal handling over swift trials, with over eight months remaining in the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Hacim
$105,794Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 89.5% implied probability that Zhang Youxia will not be sentenced to prison before 2027, driven by the absence of formal charges, trial, or conviction announcements three months after China's Ministry of National Defense placed the former Central Military Commission vice chairman under investigation for serious violations of Party discipline and law on January 24, 2026. As a longtime Xi Jinping ally and Politburo member, Zhang was swiftly removed from his posts amid an expanding PLA anti-corruption purge targeting Rocket Force and senior generals, yet state media has issued no updates on judicial proceedings. His continued absence from events like the March CPPCC session underscores opacity in elite cases, where public sentencings remain rare; historical patterns suggest prolonged internal handling over swift trials, with over eight months remaining in the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$105,794Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects an 89.5% implied probability that Zhang Youxia will not be sentenced to prison before 2027, driven by the absence of formal charges, trial, or conviction announcements three months after China's Ministry of National Defense placed the former Central Military Commission vice chairman under investigation for serious violations of Party discipline and law on January 24, 2026. As a longtime Xi Jinping ally and Politburo member, Zhang was swiftly removed from his posts amid an expanding PLA anti-corruption purge targeting Rocket Force and senior generals, yet state media has issued no updates on judicial proceedings. His continued absence from events like the March CPPCC session underscores opacity in elite cases, where public sentencings remain rare; historical patterns suggest prolonged internal handling over swift trials, with over eight months remaining in the resolution window.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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