Recent FOMC decisions have been shaped by elevated inflation readings above the 2% target, resilient economic growth, and stable labor market conditions that have kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%. The July 2026 meeting resulted in another pause, though three members dissented in favor of a 25-basis-point hike amid supply shocks and Middle East-related energy price pressures. Futures markets now imply a gradual rise toward 3.8%-4% by late 2026, reflecting trader consensus on a more restrictive path than earlier projections. With the September meeting as the next key catalyst, the dominance of "Other" outcomes at 60.5% versus Pause-Pause-Pause at 39.5% captures uncertainty around potential policy tightening while underscoring limited odds for near-term cuts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other 61%
Pause–Pause–Pause 40%
Pause–Pause–Cut 1.7%
$664,640 Обс.
$664,640 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
40%
Pause–Pause–Cut
2%
Other
61%
Other 61%
Pause–Pause–Pause 40%
Pause–Pause–Cut 1.7%
$664,640 Обс.
$664,640 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$264,133 Обс.
40%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$58,290 Обс.
2%
Other
$286,340 Обс.
61%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent FOMC decisions have been shaped by elevated inflation readings above the 2% target, resilient economic growth, and stable labor market conditions that have kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%. The July 2026 meeting resulted in another pause, though three members dissented in favor of a 25-basis-point hike amid supply shocks and Middle East-related energy price pressures. Futures markets now imply a gradual rise toward 3.8%-4% by late 2026, reflecting trader consensus on a more restrictive path than earlier projections. With the September meeting as the next key catalyst, the dominance of "Other" outcomes at 60.5% versus Pause-Pause-Pause at 39.5% captures uncertainty around potential policy tightening while underscoring limited odds for near-term cuts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Обсяг
$664,640Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent FOMC decisions have been shaped by elevated inflation readings above the 2% target, resilient economic growth, and stable labor market conditions that have kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%. The July 2026 meeting resulted in another pause, though three members dissented in favor of a 25-basis-point hike amid supply shocks and Middle East-related energy price pressures. Futures markets now imply a gradual rise toward 3.8%-4% by late 2026, reflecting trader consensus on a more restrictive path than earlier projections. With the September meeting as the next key catalyst, the dominance of "Other" outcomes at 60.5% versus Pause-Pause-Pause at 39.5% captures uncertainty around potential policy tightening while underscoring limited odds for near-term cuts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Обсяг
$664,640Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC decisions have been shaped by elevated inflation readings above the 2% target, resilient economic growth, and stable labor market conditions that have kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%. The July 2026 meeting resulted in another pause, though three members dissented in favor of a 25-basis-point hike amid supply shocks and Middle East-related energy price pressures. Futures markets now imply a gradual rise toward 3.8%-4% by late 2026, reflecting trader consensus on a more restrictive path than earlier projections. With the September meeting as the next key catalyst, the dominance of "Other" outcomes at 60.5% versus Pause-Pause-Pause at 39.5% captures uncertainty around potential policy tightening while underscoring limited odds for near-term cuts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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