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icon for Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Економ·Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

icon for Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Економ·Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Sep 16

Oct 28

Dec 9

Sep 16

Oct 28

Dec 9

Hike–Pause–Hike 23%

Hike–Pause–Pause 19%

Hike–Hike–Pause 19%

Hike–Hike–Hike 18%

Polymarket

$26,230 Обс.

Hike–Pause–Hike 23%

Hike–Pause–Pause 19%

Hike–Hike–Pause 19%

Hike–Hike–Hike 18%

Polymarket

$26,230 Обс.

Hike–Pause–Hike

$1,796 Обс.

23%

Hike–Pause–Pause

$1,632 Обс.

19%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$1,611 Обс.

18%

Hike–Hike–Pause

$1,762 Обс.

19%

Pause–Pause–Hike

$1,584 Обс.

3%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$14,704 Обс.

13%

Pause–Hike–Hike

$1,300 Обс.

3%

Pause–Hike–Pause

$1,453 Обс.

1%

Other

$388 Обс.

7%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent strong August jobs data showing 162,000 additions and a stable 4.1% unemployment rate, alongside elevated producer and consumer inflation readings, have elevated market-implied odds of a September 25-basis-point hike to around 70-90%. Hawkish communications from Chair Warsh at Jackson Hole, combined with supply-side pressures from energy markets, underpin the closely matched probabilities across hike sequences through December. Traders weigh resilient labor conditions and inflation persistence against potential cooling in upcoming CPI releases and any de-escalation in geopolitical tensions that could ease price pressures. The spread between leading paths like Hike-Pause-Hike at 23% and alternatives near 18% reflects uncertainty over the exact pace of tightening ahead of the September FOMC and subsequent data.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Обсяг
$26,230
Дата завершення
Dec 9, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent strong August jobs data showing 162,000 additions and a stable 4.1% unemployment rate, alongside elevated producer and consumer inflation readings, have elevated market-implied odds of a September 25-basis-point hike to around 70-90%. Hawkish communications from Chair Warsh at Jackson Hole, combined with supply-side pressures from energy markets, underpin the closely matched probabilities across hike sequences through December. Traders weigh resilient labor conditions and inflation persistence against potential cooling in upcoming CPI releases and any de-escalation in geopolitical tensions that could ease price pressures. The spread between leading paths like Hike-Pause-Hike at 23% and alternatives near 18% reflects uncertainty over the exact pace of tightening ahead of the September FOMC and subsequent data.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Обсяг
$26,230
Дата завершення
Dec 9, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

icon for Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

85%
icon for Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

79%
icon for Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

79%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 9 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Hike–Pause–Hike» з 23%, далі «Hike–Pause–Pause» з 19%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)» згенерував $26.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Sep 2, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)», перегляньте 9 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)» — «Hike–Pause–Hike» з 23%. Наступний — «Hike–Pause–Pause» з 19%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.