**Persistent divisions within the FOMC, fueled by sticky inflation and a stable labor market, are driving the broad dispersion in expected dissent at the October 27–28 meeting.** Recent data show August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.4%, alongside 4.1% unemployment and solid payroll gains, leaving policymakers split on whether to hike rates from the current 3.50–3.75% target range. Multiple regional bank presidents have dissented in favor of tightening in prior meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh, reflecting hawkish concerns that inflation remains above the 2% goal despite anchored expectations. Market-implied probabilities across 0–4+ dissents highlight uncertainty over how many voting members will break from the majority after the September decision and intervening data releases, with the outcome hinging on the balance between inflation persistence and labor-market resilience.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
3 25%
2 22%
1 20%
4+ 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 28, 2026
0
15%
1
20%
2
22%
3
25%
4+
19%
3 25%
2 22%
1 20%
4+ 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 28, 2026
0
$320 Обс.
15%
1
$345 Обс.
20%
2
$320 Обс.
22%
3
$340 Обс.
25%
4+
$690 Обс.
19%
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Persistent divisions within the FOMC, fueled by sticky inflation and a stable labor market, are driving the broad dispersion in expected dissent at the October 27–28 meeting.**
Recent data show August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.4%, alongside 4.1% unemployment and solid payroll gains, leaving policymakers split on whether to hike rates from the current 3.50–3.75% target range. Multiple regional bank presidents have dissented in favor of tightening in prior meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh, reflecting hawkish concerns that inflation remains above the 2% goal despite anchored expectations. Market-implied probabilities across 0–4+ dissents highlight uncertainty over how many voting members will break from the majority after the September decision and intervening data releases, with the outcome hinging on the balance between inflation persistence and labor-market resilience.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,015Дата завершення
Oct 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Persistent divisions within the FOMC, fueled by sticky inflation and a stable labor market, are driving the broad dispersion in expected dissent at the October 27–28 meeting.**
Recent data show August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.4%, alongside 4.1% unemployment and solid payroll gains, leaving policymakers split on whether to hike rates from the current 3.50–3.75% target range. Multiple regional bank presidents have dissented in favor of tightening in prior meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh, reflecting hawkish concerns that inflation remains above the 2% goal despite anchored expectations. Market-implied probabilities across 0–4+ dissents highlight uncertainty over how many voting members will break from the majority after the September decision and intervening data releases, with the outcome hinging on the balance between inflation persistence and labor-market resilience.
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$2,015Дата завершення
Oct 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 4:31 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent divisions within the FOMC, fueled by sticky inflation and a stable labor market, are driving the broad dispersion in expected dissent at the October 27–28 meeting.** Recent data show August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.4%, alongside 4.1% unemployment and solid payroll gains, leaving policymakers split on whether to hike rates from the current 3.50–3.75% target range. Multiple regional bank presidents have dissented in favor of tightening in prior meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh, reflecting hawkish concerns that inflation remains above the 2% goal despite anchored expectations. Market-implied probabilities across 0–4+ dissents highlight uncertainty over how many voting members will break from the majority after the September decision and intervening data releases, with the outcome hinging on the balance between inflation persistence and labor-market resilience.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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