Trader consensus on Miami’s August 16 high temperature centers on the 92–95 °F range because official National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance both project a sunny day with a maximum near 93 °F, consistent with late-summer subtropical patterns. Light easterly flow and typical afternoon sea-breeze development are expected to cap any inland heating, keeping readings close to the long-term August average high of 89–91 °F while allowing modest exceedance. Recent model runs show little spread, and no tropical moisture or stalled front is forecast to boost instability or suppress the breeze. With the market-implied probability of 96 °F or higher below 3 %, traders appear to view significant upward departures as unlikely absent an unexpected shift in steering currents or delayed cloud cover.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on August 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 16?
92-93°F 55%
94-95°F 41%
96-97°F 3%
90-91°F 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
55%
94-95°F
41%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 55%
94-95°F 41%
96-97°F 3%
90-91°F 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
85°F or below
$106 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$329 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$430 Обс.
1%
90-91°F
$499 Обс.
2%
92-93°F
$1,426 Обс.
55%
94-95°F
$1,329 Обс.
41%
96-97°F
$365 Обс.
3%
98-99°F
$300 Обс.
1%
100-101°F
$259 Обс.
<1%
102-103°F
$206 Обс.
<1%
104°F or higher
$138 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Miami’s August 16 high temperature centers on the 92–95 °F range because official National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance both project a sunny day with a maximum near 93 °F, consistent with late-summer subtropical patterns. Light easterly flow and typical afternoon sea-breeze development are expected to cap any inland heating, keeping readings close to the long-term August average high of 89–91 °F while allowing modest exceedance. Recent model runs show little spread, and no tropical moisture or stalled front is forecast to boost instability or suppress the breeze. With the market-implied probability of 96 °F or higher below 3 %, traders appear to view significant upward departures as unlikely absent an unexpected shift in steering currents or delayed cloud cover.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,387Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Miami’s August 16 high temperature centers on the 92–95 °F range because official National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance both project a sunny day with a maximum near 93 °F, consistent with late-summer subtropical patterns. Light easterly flow and typical afternoon sea-breeze development are expected to cap any inland heating, keeping readings close to the long-term August average high of 89–91 °F while allowing modest exceedance. Recent model runs show little spread, and no tropical moisture or stalled front is forecast to boost instability or suppress the breeze. With the market-implied probability of 96 °F or higher below 3 %, traders appear to view significant upward departures as unlikely absent an unexpected shift in steering currents or delayed cloud cover.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,387Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Miami’s August 16 high temperature centers on the 92–95 °F range because official National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance both project a sunny day with a maximum near 93 °F, consistent with late-summer subtropical patterns. Light easterly flow and typical afternoon sea-breeze development are expected to cap any inland heating, keeping readings close to the long-term August average high of 89–91 °F while allowing modest exceedance. Recent model runs show little spread, and no tropical moisture or stalled front is forecast to boost instability or suppress the breeze. With the market-implied probability of 96 °F or higher below 3 %, traders appear to view significant upward departures as unlikely absent an unexpected shift in steering currents or delayed cloud cover.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання