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Політика·Джером Пауелл

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

Market icon
Політика·Джером Пауелл

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

June 6–12 20%

May 30–June 5 18%

June 27–July 3 13%

May 15–22 13%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

June 6–12 20%

May 30–June 5 18%

June 27–July 3 13%

May 15–22 13%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Before May 15

$794 Обс.

2%

May 15–22

$198 Обс.

13%

May 23–29

$114 Обс.

7%

May 30–June 5

$79 Обс.

18%

June 6–12

$80 Обс.

20%

June 13–19

$0 Обс.

8%

June 20–26

$61 Обс.

9%

June 27–July 3

$0 Обс.

13%

After July 3

$71 Обс.

12%

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell if he remains beyond his May 15 term end has concentrated trader consensus on late May to early July windows, with June 6–12 and May 30–June 5 leading at 19.5% and 18%, reflecting uncertainty over nominee Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation timeline. Powell's March pledge to stay until a successor is confirmed—complicated by an ongoing DOJ probe into Fed headquarters renovations—keeps odds fragmented, as his governor term extends to 2028. The tight race stems from unannounced confirmation hearings and legal hurdles to removal, preserving Fed independence precedents; separation could arise from hearing dates, probe resolution, Warsh's committee vote, or Powell's resignation.

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.

All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,397
Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell if he remains beyond his May 15 term end has concentrated trader consensus on late May to early July windows, with June 6–12 and May 30–June 5 leading at 19.5% and 18%, reflecting uncertainty over nominee Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation timeline. Powell's March pledge to stay until a successor is confirmed—complicated by an ongoing DOJ probe into Fed headquarters renovations—keeps odds fragmented, as his governor term extends to 2028. The tight race stems from unannounced confirmation hearings and legal hurdles to removal, preserving Fed independence precedents; separation could arise from hearing dates, probe resolution, Warsh's committee vote, or Powell's resignation.

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.

All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,397
Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 9 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «June 6–12» з 20%, далі «May 30–June 5» з 18%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 16, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?», перегляньте 9 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?» — «June 6–12» з 20%. Наступний — «May 30–June 5» з 18%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.