Strong forecast consensus from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center and international models projects Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 18 to reach 32–34°C under persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and typical mid-August climatology for Shandong. Recent observations show no cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages or extensive cloud cover that would suppress daytime heating, consistent with historical August highs averaging near 31°C and frequently exceeding 35°C. This underpins the market-implied 99.8% probability for 26°C or higher. Realistic challenges remain limited but include a sharp, unforecasted cold-air intrusion or heavy convective rainfall that could temporarily reduce peak readings by several degrees. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours represent the key near-term data points that could refine resolution odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jinan on August 18?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 18?
26°C or higher 99.8%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
22°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.8%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
22°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
16°C or below
$100 KL.
<1%
17°C
$200 KL.
<1%
18°C
$210 KL.
1%
19°C
$100 KL.
1%
20°C
$100 KL.
<1%
21°C
$110 KL.
<1%
22°C
$100 KL.
<1%
23°C
$100 KL.
<1%
24°C
$115 KL.
<1%
25°C
$110 KL.
<1%
26°C or higher
$704 KL.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center and international models projects Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 18 to reach 32–34°C under persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and typical mid-August climatology for Shandong. Recent observations show no cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages or extensive cloud cover that would suppress daytime heating, consistent with historical August highs averaging near 31°C and frequently exceeding 35°C. This underpins the market-implied 99.8% probability for 26°C or higher. Realistic challenges remain limited but include a sharp, unforecasted cold-air intrusion or heavy convective rainfall that could temporarily reduce peak readings by several degrees. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours represent the key near-term data points that could refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,949Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center and international models projects Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 18 to reach 32–34°C under persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and typical mid-August climatology for Shandong. Recent observations show no cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages or extensive cloud cover that would suppress daytime heating, consistent with historical August highs averaging near 31°C and frequently exceeding 35°C. This underpins the market-implied 99.8% probability for 26°C or higher. Realistic challenges remain limited but include a sharp, unforecasted cold-air intrusion or heavy convective rainfall that could temporarily reduce peak readings by several degrees. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours represent the key near-term data points that could refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,949Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong forecast consensus from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center and international models projects Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 18 to reach 32–34°C under persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and typical mid-August climatology for Shandong. Recent observations show no cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages or extensive cloud cover that would suppress daytime heating, consistent with historical August highs averaging near 31°C and frequently exceeding 35°C. This underpins the market-implied 99.8% probability for 26°C or higher. Realistic challenges remain limited but include a sharp, unforecasted cold-air intrusion or heavy convective rainfall that could temporarily reduce peak readings by several degrees. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours represent the key near-term data points that could refine resolution odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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