**Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 19 around 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 27°C (53.5%) and 26°C (29.5%).** Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces August overnight lows of 25–27°C, moderated by high humidity, urban heat retention, and limited radiative cooling under cloudy or showery conditions. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a low near 26.7°C (80°F) for the 19th amid daytime highs near 32°C and possible isolated thunderstorms, with no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected. Model agreement remains high this close to the event, though small shifts could occur from updated runs reflecting changes in cloud cover or precipitation timing. The implied probabilities reflect trader assessment of these stable summer baseline conditions and limited downside risk below 25°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 19?
27°C 54%
26°C 30%
28°C 15%
29°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
30%
27°C
54%
28°C
15%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 54%
26°C 30%
28°C 15%
29°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 19, 2026
21°C or below
$5 KL.
<1%
22°C
$5 KL.
<1%
23°C
$5 KL.
1%
24°C
$10 KL.
3%
25°C
$40 KL.
4%
26°C
$26 KL.
30%
27°C
$429 KL.
54%
28°C
$12 KL.
15%
29°C
$30 KL.
4%
30°C
$5 KL.
1%
31°C or higher
$5 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 19 around 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 27°C (53.5%) and 26°C (29.5%).**
Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces August overnight lows of 25–27°C, moderated by high humidity, urban heat retention, and limited radiative cooling under cloudy or showery conditions. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a low near 26.7°C (80°F) for the 19th amid daytime highs near 32°C and possible isolated thunderstorms, with no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected.
Model agreement remains high this close to the event, though small shifts could occur from updated runs reflecting changes in cloud cover or precipitation timing. The implied probabilities reflect trader assessment of these stable summer baseline conditions and limited downside risk below 25°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$572Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 19 around 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 27°C (53.5%) and 26°C (29.5%).**
Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces August overnight lows of 25–27°C, moderated by high humidity, urban heat retention, and limited radiative cooling under cloudy or showery conditions. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a low near 26.7°C (80°F) for the 19th amid daytime highs near 32°C and possible isolated thunderstorms, with no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected.
Model agreement remains high this close to the event, though small shifts could occur from updated runs reflecting changes in cloud cover or precipitation timing. The implied probabilities reflect trader assessment of these stable summer baseline conditions and limited downside risk below 25°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$572Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 19 around 26–27°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 27°C (53.5%) and 26°C (29.5%).** Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces August overnight lows of 25–27°C, moderated by high humidity, urban heat retention, and limited radiative cooling under cloudy or showery conditions. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a low near 26.7°C (80°F) for the 19th amid daytime highs near 32°C and possible isolated thunderstorms, with no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected. Model agreement remains high this close to the event, though small shifts could occur from updated runs reflecting changes in cloud cover or precipitation timing. The implied probabilities reflect trader assessment of these stable summer baseline conditions and limited downside risk below 25°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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