Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic secretary of state, secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary and now leads Republican U.S. Representative John James in general election polling by margins averaging roughly five to ten points across recent surveys. Incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer's term limit created an open-seat contest in a state where no Republican has won a statewide race in more than a decade. Benson benefits from higher name recognition, stronger fundraising, and consistent advantages in battleground-state metrics, while James's primary victory—bolstered by a Trump endorsement—has not translated into broader general-election gains. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic nominee at 87.5% implied probability ahead of the November 3 vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMichigan Governor Election Winner
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Democrat 88%
Republican 14%
Independent <1%
$198,922 KL.
$198,922 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
88%
Republican
14%
Independent
<1%
Democrat 88%
Republican 14%
Independent <1%
$198,922 KL.
$198,922 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$47,537 KL.
88%
Republican
$150,632 KL.
14%
Independent
$753 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic secretary of state, secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary and now leads Republican U.S. Representative John James in general election polling by margins averaging roughly five to ten points across recent surveys. Incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer's term limit created an open-seat contest in a state where no Republican has won a statewide race in more than a decade. Benson benefits from higher name recognition, stronger fundraising, and consistent advantages in battleground-state metrics, while James's primary victory—bolstered by a Trump endorsement—has not translated into broader general-election gains. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic nominee at 87.5% implied probability ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$198,922Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic secretary of state, secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary and now leads Republican U.S. Representative John James in general election polling by margins averaging roughly five to ten points across recent surveys. Incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer's term limit created an open-seat contest in a state where no Republican has won a statewide race in more than a decade. Benson benefits from higher name recognition, stronger fundraising, and consistent advantages in battleground-state metrics, while James's primary victory—bolstered by a Trump endorsement—has not translated into broader general-election gains. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic nominee at 87.5% implied probability ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$198,922Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic secretary of state, secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary and now leads Republican U.S. Representative John James in general election polling by margins averaging roughly five to ten points across recent surveys. Incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer's term limit created an open-seat contest in a state where no Republican has won a statewide race in more than a decade. Benson benefits from higher name recognition, stronger fundraising, and consistent advantages in battleground-state metrics, while James's primary victory—bolstered by a Trump endorsement—has not translated into broader general-election gains. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that places the Democratic nominee at 87.5% implied probability ahead of the November 3 vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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