Incumbent Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon’s established position in Pennsylvania’s 5th District underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district’s suburban Philadelphia footprint carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15, reflecting consistent Democratic margins in recent presidential and congressional voting. Scanlon’s fundraising edge and lack of a high-profile Republican challenger have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a pronounced national Republican wave, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in Delaware and Montgomery County precincts, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from historical patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-05 House Election Winner
PA-05 House Election Winner
$33,066 KL.
$33,066 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$33,066 KL.
$33,066 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,583 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$23,483 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon’s established position in Pennsylvania’s 5th District underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district’s suburban Philadelphia footprint carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15, reflecting consistent Democratic margins in recent presidential and congressional voting. Scanlon’s fundraising edge and lack of a high-profile Republican challenger have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a pronounced national Republican wave, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in Delaware and Montgomery County precincts, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$33,066Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon’s established position in Pennsylvania’s 5th District underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district’s suburban Philadelphia footprint carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15, reflecting consistent Democratic margins in recent presidential and congressional voting. Scanlon’s fundraising edge and lack of a high-profile Republican challenger have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a pronounced national Republican wave, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in Delaware and Montgomery County precincts, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$33,066Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon’s established position in Pennsylvania’s 5th District underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district’s suburban Philadelphia footprint carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15, reflecting consistent Democratic margins in recent presidential and congressional voting. Scanlon’s fundraising edge and lack of a high-profile Republican challenger have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a pronounced national Republican wave, an unforeseen personal or legal development affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in Delaware and Montgomery County precincts, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from historical patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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