Rhode Island's long-standing Democratic registration advantage and consistent general-election margins exceeding 25 points anchor trader consensus behind the party's nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Jack Reed, first elected in 1997 and seeking another term, faces only token primary opposition and holds commanding leads in available surveys, while Republican primary contenders operate in a state that has elected no GOP senator since 2000. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. A late health event for the incumbent, credible scandal, or abrupt national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such reversals improbable before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRhode Island Senate Election Winner
Rhode Island Senate Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
5%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$5,542 KL.
93%
Republican
$2,856 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's long-standing Democratic registration advantage and consistent general-election margins exceeding 25 points anchor trader consensus behind the party's nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Jack Reed, first elected in 1997 and seeking another term, faces only token primary opposition and holds commanding leads in available surveys, while Republican primary contenders operate in a state that has elected no GOP senator since 2000. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. A late health event for the incumbent, credible scandal, or abrupt national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such reversals improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,399Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's long-standing Democratic registration advantage and consistent general-election margins exceeding 25 points anchor trader consensus behind the party's nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Jack Reed, first elected in 1997 and seeking another term, faces only token primary opposition and holds commanding leads in available surveys, while Republican primary contenders operate in a state that has elected no GOP senator since 2000. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. A late health event for the incumbent, credible scandal, or abrupt national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such reversals improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$8,399Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's long-standing Democratic registration advantage and consistent general-election margins exceeding 25 points anchor trader consensus behind the party's nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Jack Reed, first elected in 1997 and seeking another term, faces only token primary opposition and holds commanding leads in available surveys, while Republican primary contenders operate in a state that has elected no GOP senator since 2000. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. A late health event for the incumbent, credible scandal, or abrupt national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such reversals improbable before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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