Democratic incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 general election due to the district's post-Proposition 50 redistricting, which shifted the partisan balance toward Democrats, combined with his strong primary performance against Republican Steve Cohen. Peters secured roughly 48 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing comfortably ahead of Cohen's 40 percent share amid limited Republican infrastructure in the San Diego-area seat. Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and similar nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and voter registration advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, unusually high Republican turnout, or national political reversal could still narrow the margin before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$60,159 交易量
$60,159 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
$60,159 交易量
$60,159 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$35,326 交易量
94%
共和黨
$24,833 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 general election due to the district's post-Proposition 50 redistricting, which shifted the partisan balance toward Democrats, combined with his strong primary performance against Republican Steve Cohen. Peters secured roughly 48 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing comfortably ahead of Cohen's 40 percent share amid limited Republican infrastructure in the San Diego-area seat. Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and similar nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and voter registration advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, unusually high Republican turnout, or national political reversal could still narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$60,159結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 general election due to the district's post-Proposition 50 redistricting, which shifted the partisan balance toward Democrats, combined with his strong primary performance against Republican Steve Cohen. Peters secured roughly 48 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing comfortably ahead of Cohen's 40 percent share amid limited Republican infrastructure in the San Diego-area seat. Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and similar nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and voter registration advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, unusually high Republican turnout, or national political reversal could still narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$60,159結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 general election due to the district's post-Proposition 50 redistricting, which shifted the partisan balance toward Democrats, combined with his strong primary performance against Republican Steve Cohen. Peters secured roughly 48 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing comfortably ahead of Cohen's 40 percent share amid limited Republican infrastructure in the San Diego-area seat. Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and similar nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and voter registration advantages. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, unusually high Republican turnout, or national political reversal could still narrow the margin before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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